FNUS74 KLIX 311908
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
208 PM CDT MON MAY 31 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AT 1400 CDT...1016MB SFC TROF FM N OF KBTR-KASD-50NM S
OF KPQL...STNRY. 1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/89W RDGG FM 1018MB HIGH
OFF W FL CST. 1MB GRADIENT HIGH TO TROF. 4MB GRAD W GLFMEX...HIGH TO
1013MB INVERTED TROF IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION
1016MB.

.WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY...
...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS.
...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS.

.SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE...
18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION
  SFC...SSW  3KT
250FT...SSW  2KT
500FT... W   1KT
 1KFT... NW  5KT
 2KFT... NW  5KT
 3KFT... SW  6KT
 4KFT...SSW 12KT
 5KFT...SSW 13KT
MAX WIND...252/54KT 40.2KFT.
DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 4700FT. DRY ENTIRE
COLUMN. LI -3. SBCAPE 647 J/KG. P.W. 0.57 IN. 30R75 STM MOTION
231/5KT.

.NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS...
...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS
...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS
...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS
...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W
...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W
...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W
...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W
...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W

METAR KBVE 311851Z AUTO 20006KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP156
     T02940222 TSNO
METAR KGAO 311843Z AUTO 22004KT SCT039 32/22 A2998 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W
     THRU N PWINO
METAR KHSA 311851Z 00000KT 10SM BKN025 29/23 A2996
METAR KIPN 311900Z AUTO VRB04G20KT 1/2SM HZ BKN003 OVC023 26/22 A3001
     RMK A01 P0027
METAR KMYT 311855Z AUTO 21003KT 10SM SCT026 BKN032 BKN039 30/22 A3000
     RMK A01
METAR KSPR 311855Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 28/23 A2998 RMK A01
METAR KMDJ 311855Z AUTO 21003KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A3001 RMK A01
METAR KDLP 311855Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A2998 RMK A01

.AREAL AVIATION...
COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025 BKN060...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB
    G35KT TOPS 400. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z.
MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020 BKN250...ISOLD 4SM
    SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 450
    G25KT.

KHUM 311731Z 3118/0118 25005KT P6SM SCT035 SCT050
     FM312100 20006KT P6SM SCT035CB SCT050
     FM010400 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250
     FM011300 22003KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250

KHSA 311731Z 3118/0118 20005KT P6SM SCT035 SCT100
     FM312100 20005KT P6SM SCT035CB SCT050
     FM010200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250
      TEMPO 0110/0112 4SM BR FEW010
     FM011500 20005KT P6SM FEW020 BKN250=

AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT S WND.
AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT W WND.
AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND.

.RADAR...AT 1400 CDT...ISOLD SHWR 18NM NE...34NM SE OF SPILL
LOCATION...MOVG E 7KT. WEAKNG TREND PAST HR. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM
OF SPILL LOCATION. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...107NM E.

.TIDAL INFORMATION...
PSTL1 1.59 FT AT 1341 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.28 FT AT 2157 CDT.
WYCM6 2.31 FT AT 1330 CDT RISING NR HIGH TIDE 2.42 FT AT 1357 CDT.

BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85F.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20  20  20  20
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............84  84  84  83
RH..............67  67  67  70
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   9   8   8
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30
CEILINGS........S25............
SEAS............2   2   2   2
SEA STATE.......SM  SM  SM  SM

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........20     25     25     25     37     37
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     82     81     80     79     78
RH..............70     72     72     74     77     78
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 7    S 7    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   3000   3000   3000   3000   3300
MIX HGT (M).....670    910    910    910    910    1010
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    SW 8   S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4    SW 4   S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     10     10     10     20     20
SEAS............2      2      2      2      2      2
SEA STATE.......SM     SM     SM     SM     LC     LC

.TUESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........37     40     40     40     30     30
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     80     82     83     84     84
RH..............78     74     69     67     65     65
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   3600   3900   3900   4200   4200
MIX HGT (M).....1010   1100   1190   1190   1280   1280
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 8    S 7    S 7    S 5    S 5
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4    S 4    S 3    S 3    S 2    S 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
SEAS............2      1      1      1      1      1
SEA STATE.......LC     LC     LC     LC     SM     SM

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24
REQUESTED BY...JULIA RUTHFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100531.DEEPW.10/LIX