FNUS74 KLIX 011215 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 715 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...BROAD FLAT 1016-17MB HIGH PRES RDG OVR NRN GLFMEX. 1012MB TROF ALG LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING NEAR THE MS SOUND... AT 609 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS... FROM 11 NM EAST OF HORN ISLAND TO 26 NM SOUTHWEST OF HORN ISLAND...OR FROM 5 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO 6 NM EAST OF CHANDELEUR SOUND...MOVING EAST AT 5 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 6KT 250FT... SW 5KT 500FT... SW 5KT 1KFT... SW 6KT 2KFT...WSW 6KT 3KFT... W 2KT 4KFT... E 5KT 5KFT... E 10KT MAX WIND...244/47KT 42.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4200FT...INVERSION TO 6500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 6500FT. INV-V TO 950MB/1750FT...V DRY ABV. LI -4...SBCAPE 1689 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 281/2KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 011151Z AUTO 00000KT 8SM CLR 24/22 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP162 T02440222 10256 20233 53010 TSNO METAR KGAO 011203Z AUTO 00000KT 23/23 A3000 RMK AO2 PWINO SPECI KHSA 011202Z 00000KT 3SM BR CLR 22/22 A2999 METAR KIPN 011200Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 011155Z AUTO 22005KT FEW021 28/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 011155Z AUTO 22004KT 10SM 28/24 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 011155Z AUTO 22007KT 10SM FEW024 FEW030 28/23 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 011155Z AUTO 29004KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 400 ALG MS CST TIL 15Z. AFT 15Z VFR SCT033. AFT 17Z VFR SCT040... SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G33KT TOPS 460...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 450 G25KT. KHUM 011126Z 0112/0212 00000KT 6SM BR SCT025 TEMPO 0112/0113 5SM BR FM011300 18005KT P6SM SCT030 FM011800 18010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB FM012200 18007KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM020700 17003KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 4SM BR KHSA 011202Z 0112/0212 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250 TEMPO 0112/0113 2SM BR FM011500 20005KT P6SM FEW020 FM011800 18005KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB SCT250 FM012200 18005KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250 FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM021000 20003KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT...SCT LGT SHWRS WERE INDICATED BTWN 12NM-38NM OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 5KT. CLOSEST CELL 15NM W OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LGTNG DETECTED THESE CELLS. TREND HAS BEEN FOR SHWRS TO BE SHORT-LIVED ABT 15-20MIN. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...37NM S NR 28.2N/88.5W...MOVG ESE 5KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.36 FT AT 0653 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.70 FT AT 1009 CDT. WYCM6 1.95 FT AT 0653 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.37 FT AT 1555 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........16 15 14 13 12 11 10 11 14 15 18 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 80 81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............78 78 76 75 73 72 72 72 74 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW SE SE SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 1 1 1 3 3 3 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S22.........S25........................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........25 29 27 45 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 80 80 80 RH..............74 77 79 79 78 78 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 SW 4 SW 6 SW 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2500 2100 2100 2100 1900 MIX HGT (M).....700 760 640 640 640 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 42 42 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 83 84 85 85 RH..............75 70 65 63 61 63 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2600 2600 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 790 790 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 S 6 S 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 S 3 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.03/LIX