FNUS74 KLIX 011406 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 906 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0900 CDT...BROAD FLAT 1017MB HIGH PRES RDG OVR NRN-ERN GLFMEX. WK 1016MB TROF ALG N CST FM S OF KNEW-40NM S OF KPQL-KPNS. 1013MB TROF ALG LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 5KT 250FT... W 5KT 500FT... W 5KT 1KFT... W 5KT 2KFT...WNW 5KT 3KFT... NE 2KT 4KFT... E 9KT 5KFT... E 11KT MAX WIND...247/48KT 45.4KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4300FT...INVERSION TO 5800FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5800FT. INV-V TO 950MB/1800FT...V DRY ABV. LI -7...SBCAPE 1993 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 323/2KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...260/11KT 2KFT...260/12KT 3KFT...300/09KT 4KFT...295/09KT 6KFT...290/06KT MAX WIND...240/55KT 48KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 667FT...PSEUDO TO COND STABLE LAPSE ABV 667FT. SATURATED TO 1000MB...MODERATELY MOIST TO 650MB..V-DRY ABV. LI -8...SBCAPE 3559 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 307/6KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 011351Z AUTO 06003KT 9SM SCT021 28/24 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP167 T02780239 TSNO METAR KGAO 011343Z AUTO 13006KT SCT007 BKN018 OVC025 27/23 A3002 RMK AO2 P0002 PWINO METAR KHSA 011351Z 27004KT 7SM SCT048 27/24 A3001 METAR KIPN 011400Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 011355Z AUTO VRB03KT 9SM CLR 29/23 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 011355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 28/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 011355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW023 30/23 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 011430Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A3001 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025...ISOLD SHRA. AFT 15Z VFR SCT033. AFT 17Z VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOPS 460... BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 450 G25KT. KHUM 011126Z 0112/0212 00000KT 6SM BR SCT025 TEMPO 0112/0113 5SM BR FM011300 18005KT P6SM SCT030 FM011800 18010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB FM012200 18007KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM020700 17003KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 4SM BR KHSA 011202Z 0112/0212 VRB03KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250 TEMPO 0112/0113 2SM BR FM011500 20005KT P6SM FEW020 FM011800 18005KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB SCT250 FM012200 18005KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250 FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM021000 20003KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0900 CDT...SCT LGT SHWRS WERE INDICATED BTWN 6NM-25NM OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 5KT. CLOSEST CELL 6NM W OF SPILL LOCATION. TREND HAS BEEN FOR SHWRS TO BE SHORT-LIVED AND DISPT BEF REACHING SPILL LOCATION. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...20NM NE...NR 28.9N/88.6W...MOVG E 5KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.60 FT AT 0838 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.70 FT AT 0954 CDT. WYCM6 1.33 FT AT 0838 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.37 FT AT 1455 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.7F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........14 13 12 11 10 11 14 15 18 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............73 75 73 71 68 70 72 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW SE SE SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 1 1 1 3 3 3 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S25............................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM SM SM SM SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........25 29 27 45 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 80 80 80 RH..............77 77 79 79 78 78 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 SW 4 SW 6 SW 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2500 2100 2100 2100 1900 MIX HGT (M).....700 760 640 640 640 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 42 42 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 83 84 85 85 RH..............75 70 65 63 61 63 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2600 2600 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 790 790 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 S 6 S 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 S 3 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.05/LIX