FNUS74 KLIX 011911 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 211 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1400 CDT...1017MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27.5N/90W...XTNSN OF LARGER HIGH PRES RDG OVR NRN-ERN GLFMEX. 1013MB LOW PRES SYS NR 25N/94.5W WITH LARGE AREA OF TSTMS IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY W OF 93W...MOVG NE 21KT. 5MB GRADIENT HIGH TO LOW. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 3KT 250FT... SE 1KT 500FT...ESE 2KT 1KFT...ENE 6KT 2KFT... NE 8KT 3KFT... SE 6KT 4KFT... SE 14KT 5KFT...SSE 15KT MAX WIND...239/52KT 46.1KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 5100FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 5900FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5900FT. 5C SPRD TO 850MB/5100FT...V-DRY TO 800MB...MOIST LAYER 750-650MB...DRY V ABV. LI -5...SBCAPE 1519 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 267/01KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 011851Z AUTO 16005KT 10SM FEW029 SCT043 31/23 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP147 T03060233 TSNO METAR KGAO 011903Z AUTO 17005KT BKN035 31/22 A2995 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 011851Z 24007KT 10SM SCT030 BKN070 32/20 A2993 METAR KIPN 011900Z AUTO 13008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 011855Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM FEW026 32/23 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 011855Z AUTO 16008KT 10SM 30/23 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 011855Z AUTO 19005KT 10SM SCT031 30/22 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 011855Z AUTO 00000G14KT 10SM CLR 31/22 A2996 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 500 ...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 400 G25KT. KHUM 011720Z 0118/0218 20007KT P6SM SCT040CB FM012000 18007KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN250 TEMPO 0120/0123 VRB10G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 3SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 KHSA 011720Z 0118/0218 24005KT P6SM SCT030CB SCT250 FM012100 21005KT P6SM SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 0121/0201 VRB07G15KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020100 00000KT P6SM SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT S WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT-BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1400 CDT...ISOLD LGT SHWR 43NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 10KT. NO LGTNG THIS CELL. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. A LARGE AND EXPANDING CLUSTER OF STG TSTMS WAS INDICATED IN THE W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN ASSOC WITH 1013MB LOW PRES CIRC. CENTROID OF THIS FEATURE 385NM WSW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT NE 21KT. STORMS XPNDG EWD TO NR 93W AND NWD TO 28N. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND DIRECTION...ETA AT SPILL LOCATION...35 HOURS...0100 CDT THU. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.63 FT AT 1341 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.44 FT AT 2312 CDT. WYCM6 2.16 FT AT 1355 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.37 FT AT 1455 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.5F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........11 14 15 18 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 RH..............70 72 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 CEILINGS........S25.............. SEAS............2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........25 29 27 45 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 80 80 80 RH..............77 77 79 77 78 75 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2500 2300 2300 2100 1900 MIX HGT (M).....700 760 700 700 640 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 W 8 SW 6 SW 6 S 5 S 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 W 4 SW 3 SW 3 S 2 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 42 42 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 83 84 85 85 RH..............75 70 65 63 61 63 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3000 3000 3600 3600 MIX HGT (M).....580 730 910 910 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.09/LIX