FNUS74 KLIX 012016 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 316 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1500 CDT...1016MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28/90W...XTNSN OF LARGER HIGH PRES RDG OVR NRN-ERN GLFMEX. 1013MB LOW PRES SYS NR 25N/94.5W WITH LARGE AREA OF TSTMS IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY W OF 93W...MOVG NE 21KT. 5MB GRADIENT HIGH TO LOW. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 3KT 250FT... SE 1KT 500FT...ESE 2KT 1KFT...ENE 6KT 2KFT... NE 8KT 3KFT... SE 6KT 4KFT... SE 14KT 5KFT...SSE 15KT MAX WIND...239/52KT 46.1KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 5100FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 5900FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5900FT. 5C SPRD TO 850MB/5100FT...V-DRY TO 800MB...MOIST LAYER 750-650MB...DRY V ABV. LI -5...SBCAPE 1519 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 267/01KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 011951Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM CLR 31/22 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP140 T03060217 TSNO METAR KGAO 012003Z AUTO 19008KT CLR 32/23 A2993 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N PWINO METAR KHSA 011951Z 22007KT 10SM SCT040 SCT055 31/21 A2991 METAR KIPN 012000Z AUTO 14008KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 011955Z AUTO 19008KT 10SM FEW025 32/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 011955Z AUTO 18005KT 10SM 30/24 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 011955Z AUTO 19007KT 170V230 10SM SCT027 BKN034 30/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 011955Z AUTO VRB06KT 140V200 10SM CLR 31/23 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 500 ...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 400 G25KT. KHUM 011720Z 0118/0218 20007KT P6SM SCT040CB FM012000 18007KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN250 TEMPO 0120/0123 VRB10G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 3SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 KHSA 011720Z 0118/0218 24005KT P6SM SCT030CB SCT250 FM012100 21005KT P6SM SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 0121/0201 VRB07G15KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020100 00000KT P6SM SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT MDT SW WND. BEC AFT 03/04Z...VSBY 1SM +TSRA BKN025 NMRS SQLN TSTMS G45KT. AFT 03/09Z...VFR CIGS AOA 080...MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1500 CDT...NO ECHOES WITHIN 50NM OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. A LARGE AND EXPANDING CLUSTER OF STG TSTMS WAS INDICATED IN THE W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN ASSOC WITH 1013MB LOW PRES CIRC. CENTROID OF THIS FEATURE 365NM WSW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT NE 21KT. STORMS XPNDG EWD TO NR 92.5W AND NWD TO 28N. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND DIRECTION...ETA AT SPILL LOCATION...34 HOURS/0100 CDT THU. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.51 FT AT 1441 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.44 FT AT 2312 CDT. WYCM6 2.21 FT AT 1455 CDT AT HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 89F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........14 15 19 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 RH..............72 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 7 7 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 CEILINGS........S25......... SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........29 31 26 47 54 61 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 80 80 80 80 RH..............77 77 79 77 78 75 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2500 2300 2300 2100 1900 MIX HGT (M).....700 760 700 700 640 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 W 8 SW 6 SW 6 S 5 S 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3 W 4 SW 3 SW 3 S 2 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 65 67 67 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 83 84 85 85 RH..............75 70 65 63 61 63 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3000 3000 3600 3600 MIX HGT (M).....580 730 910 910 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.10/LIX