FNUS74 KLIX 012245 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 545 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1700 CDT...PRES FIELD GENLY LWRG ACRS N GLFMEX IN RESPONSE TO APRCHG UPR LVL DISTRBNC OUT OF TX. 1016MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28/89W...XTNSN OF LARGER HIGH PRES RDG OVR ERN GLFMEX. FALLING PRES ALG LWR TX CST...1011MB. LARGE CLUSTER OF INTENSE TSTMS IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY W OF 92W/ S OF 26N...MOVG E 15KT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 5KT 250FT... W 4KT 500FT...WSW 3KT 1KFT... S 3KT 2KFT... SE 8KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT... S 8KT 5KFT...SSW 11KT MAX WIND...248/43KT 40.8KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3300FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 5000FT...WARM LAYER TO 8200FT. PEUDO 8200FT AND UP...DRY TO 900MB...MOIST LAYER 900-850MB...WARM NOSE 850-750MB...DRY V ABV. LI -3...SBCAPE 873 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 264/02KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 012151Z AUTO 17008KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP130 T03000228 TSNO METAR KGAO 012159Z AUTO 16006KT CLR 32/22 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NW PWINO METAR KHSA 012150Z 15006KT 7SM SCT060 26/23 A2990 METAR KIPN 012240Z AUTO 21008KT 10SM FEW024 28/22 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 012235Z AUTO 19008KT 10SM SCT026 SCT033 30/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 012235Z AUTO 19011KT 10SM 29/23 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 012235Z AUTO 21009KT 10SM SCT027 BKN032 BKN041 29/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 012235Z AUTO 17008KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 500 ...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 400 G25KT. KHUM 011720Z 0118/0218 20007KT P6SM SCT040CB FM012000 18007KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN250 TEMPO 0120/0123 VRB10G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020100 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 3SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 KHSA 011720Z 0118/0218 24005KT P6SM SCT030CB SCT250 FM012100 21005KT P6SM SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 0121/0201 VRB07G15KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020100 00000KT P6SM SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT MDT SW WND. BEC AFT 03/04Z...VSBY 1SM +TSRA BKN025 NMRS SQLN TSTMS G45KT. AFT 03/09Z...VFR CIGS AOA 080...MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1700 CDT...NO ECHOES WITHIN 95NM OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. A LARGE AND EXPANDING CLUSTER OF STG TSTMS WAS INDICATED IN THE W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN ASSOC UPR LVL DISTRBNC. CENTROID OF THIS FEATURE 380NM WSW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT E 15KT. STORMS XPNDG EWD TO NR 92.1W AND NWD TO 26N. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND DIRECTION...ETA AT SPILL LOCATION...33 HOURS/0100 CDT THU. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.24 FT AT 1657 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.43 FT AT 2259 CDT. WYCM6 1.83 FT AT 1652 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.31 FT AT 0158 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........M 29 33 31 28 26 33 47 54 54 54 61 61 WEATHER COV.....M ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....M TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............M 83 83 82 81 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............M 70 71 73 75 77 78 78 78 78 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..M S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..M 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.M 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...M 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....M 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.M S W W W SW SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.M 7 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).M 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).M 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............M 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......M LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 65 67 67 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 83 84 83 82 RH..............80 78 73 67 70 72 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3000 3000 3600 3600 MIX HGT (M).....580 730 910 910 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC CH .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............72 74 77 79 82 84 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3300 2700 2700 2100 2500 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1010 820 820 640 760 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 16 S 15 S 15 S 15 SW 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.12/LIX