FNUS74 KLIX 012340 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 640 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1800 CDT...PRES FIELD GENLY SLOWLY LWRG ACRS N GLFMEX IN RESPONSE TO APRCHG UPR LVL DISTRBNC OUT OF TX. 1015MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27/86W. FALLING PRES ALG LWR TX CST...1011MB. LARGE CLUSTER OF INTENSE TSTMS IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY W OF 92W/ S OF 26N...MOVG ESE 15KT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 6KT 250FT... SW 5KT 500FT...SSW 5KT 1KFT...SSW 6KT 2KFT...SSE 9KT 3KFT... S 9KT 4KFT... S 10KT 5KFT...SSW 12KT MAX WIND...249/46KT 40.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3300FT......WARM LAYER TO 8500FT. INV V TO 700MB 10.4KFT...DRY V ABV. DRY TO 900MB...WARM NOSE 900-750MB...INV V 750-700MB...DRY V ABV. LI -3...SBCAPE 1032 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 251/03KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 012251Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP130 T02940228 TSNO METAR KGAO 012326Z AUTO 20009KT SCT031 SCT036 31/23 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N PWINO METAR KHSA 012251Z 11006KT 10SM SCT080 27/23 A2990 METAR KIPN 012320Z AUTO 22007KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 012315Z AUTO 19009KT 10SM FEW027 FEW035 SCT046 30/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 012315Z AUTO 19009KT 10SM 29/24 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 012315Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 012315Z AUTO 16009KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2990 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 500 ...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 400 G25KT. TAFHUM TAF KHUM 012338Z 0200/0224 16005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 0200/0202 VRB10G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020200 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 3SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 FM021800 15008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB= KHSA 012338Z 0200/0224 11006KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB SCT250 FM020200 00000KT P6SM SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 FM021800 18008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0220/0224 TSRA BKN040CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 020200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT MDT SW WND. BEC AFT 03/04Z...VSBY 1SM +TSRA BKN025 NMRS SQLN TSTMS G45KT. AFT 03/09Z...VFR CIGS AOA 080...MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...NO ECHOES WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. A LARGE AND EXPANDING CLUSTER OF STG TSTMS WAS INDICATED IN THE W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN ASSOC UPR LVL DISTRBNC. CENTROID OF THIS FEATURE 364NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT ESE AT 15KT. STORMS XPNDG EWD TO NR 92.1W AND NWD TO 26N. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND DIRECTION...ETA AT SPILL LOCATION...33 HOURS/0100 CDT THU. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.07 FT AT 1752 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.43 FT AT 2259 CDT. WYCM6 1.80 FT AT 1754 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.31 FT AT 0158 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........29 33 31 28 26 33 47 54 54 54 61 61 WEATHER COV.....ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 82 81 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............70 71 73 75 77 78 78 78 78 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S W W W SW SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 65 67 67 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 83 84 83 82 RH..............80 78 73 67 70 72 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3000 3000 3600 3600 MIX HGT (M).....580 730 910 910 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC CH .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............72 74 77 79 82 84 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3300 2700 2700 2100 2500 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1010 820 820 640 760 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 16 S 15 S 15 S 15 SW 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.13/LIX