FNUS74 KLIX 020044 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 744 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1900 CDT...PRES FIELD GENLY SLOWLY LWRG ACRS N GLFMEX IN RESPONSE TO APRCHG UPR LVL DISTRBNC OUT OF TX. 1014MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28/89W.....XTNSN OF LARGER HIGH PRES RDG OVR ERN GLFMEX AT 1015MB. FALLING PRES ALG LWR TX CST...1010MB. LARGE CLUSTER OF INTENSE TSTMS IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY W OF 92W/ S OF 26N...MOVG E 10KT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 2KT 250FT... SW 1KT 500FT...SSE 2KT 1KFT...SSE 4KT 2KFT...SSE 9KT 3KFT...SSE 8KT 4KFT...SSW 7KT 5KFT... SW 8KT MAX WIND...250/45KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3400FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 5000FT...WEAK WARM LAYER TO 8400FT. INV V TO 10.3KFT...DRY V ABV. DRY TO 900MB...ISOTHERMAL 900-850MB...WARM NOSE 850-750MB...INV V 750-700MB...DRY V ABV. LI -4...SBCAPE 1108 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 267/02KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 012351Z AUTO 19005KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP133 T02890222 10311 20289 55006 TSNO METAR KGAO 020023Z AUTO 18004KT CLR 29/22 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE PWINO METAR KHSA 012351Z 10003KT 10SM SCT090 26/22 A2990 METAR KIPN 020040Z AUTO 21006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 020035Z AUTO 19011KT 9SM FEW026 FEW031 FEW038 29/22 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 020035Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM 28/23 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 020035Z AUTO 20009KT 10SM FEW026 29/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 020035Z AUTO 17009KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 500 ...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 400 G25KT. KHUM 012338Z 0200/0224 16005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 0200/0202 VRB10G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020200 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 3SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 FM021800 15008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB KHSA 012338Z 0200/0224 11006KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB SCT250 FM020200 00000KT P6SM SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 FM021800 18008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0220/0224 TSRA BKN040CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 020200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT MDT SW WND. BEC AFT 03/04Z...VSBY 1SM +TSRA BKN025 NMRS SQLN TSTMS G45KT. AFT 03/09Z...VFR CIGS AOA 080...MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1900 CDT...A COUPLE OF WEAK SHOWERS WERE LOCATED 45NM FROM THE SPILL IN EAST MAIN PASS AREA. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. A LARGE AND EXPANDING CLUSTER OF STG TSTMS WAS INDICATED IN THE W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN ASSOC UPR LVL DISTRBNC. CENTROID OF THIS FEATURE 375NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT E AT 10KT. STORMS XPNDG EWD TO NR 92.3W AND NWD TO 25.6N. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND DIRECTION...ETA AT SPILL LOCATION...33 HOURS/0100 CDT THU. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.87 FT AT 1854 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.46 FT AT 2259 CDT. WYCM6 1.42 FT AT 1902 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.20 FT AT 0158 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........33 31 28 26 33 47 54 54 54 61 61 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 82 81 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............71 73 75 77 78 78 78 78 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 65 67 67 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 83 84 83 82 RH..............80 78 73 67 70 72 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3000 3000 3600 3600 MIX HGT (M).....580 730 910 910 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC CH .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............72 74 77 79 82 84 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3300 2700 2700 2100 2500 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1010 820 820 640 760 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 16 S 15 S 15 S 15 SW 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.14/LIX