FNUS74 KLIX 020148 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 848 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 2000 CDT...PRES FIELD GENLY SLOWLY LWRG ACRS N GLFMEX IN RESPONSE TO APRCHG UPR LVL DISTRBNC OUT OF TX. 1015MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28/89W. FALLING PRES ALG LWR TX CST...1010MB. LARGE CLUSTER OF INTENSE TSTMS IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX...GENLY W OF 91.9W/ S OF 25.4N...MOVG E 15KT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 01Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 2KT 250FT... S 5KT 500FT...SSE 4KT 1KFT... S 5KT 2KFT... S 8KT 3KFT...SSW 6KT 4KFT... SW 5KT 5KFT... W 7KT MAX WIND...247/46KT 43.9KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3300FT...WEAK WARM LAYER TO 8500FT. INV V TO 10.4KFT...DRY V ABV. DRY TO 900MB...WARM NOSE 900-750MB...INV V 750-700MB...DRY V ABV. LI -4...SBCAPE 1535 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 270/02KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 020051Z AUTO 20007KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP131 T02720228 TSNO METAR KGAO 020123Z AUTO 19004KT CLR 27/22 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W THRU NE PWINO METAR KHSA 020051Z 25010KT 07SM TS RA SCT022 OVC065 24/21 A2991 METAR KIPN 020140Z AUTO 18005KT 10SM FEW023 FEW048 FEW070 28/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 020135Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM FEW024 28/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 020135Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM 28/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 020135Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 020135Z AUTO 18006KT 10SM FEW031 29/24 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT040...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 500 ...BECMG ISOLD TSRA AFT 22Z. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU...LCL MVFR 4SM BR BTWN 09Z-14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT020...ISOLD 4SM SHRA BKN025CB TOPS 350...LCL 2SM +TSRA OVC015CB TOPS 400 G25KT. KHUM 012338Z 0200/0224 16005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB TEMPO 0200/0202 VRB10G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM020200 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 TEMPO 0208/0212 3SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 FM021800 15008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB KHSA 020048Z 0201/0224 11006KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB SCT250 TEMPO 0201/0202 VRB10G20KT TSRA BKN040CB FM020200 00000KT P6SM SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 FM021800 18008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0220/0224 TSRA BKN040CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 020200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR SCT030...SCT TSRA. LGT MDT SW WND. BEC AFT 03/04Z...VSBY 1SM +TSRA BKN025 NMRS SQLN TSTMS G45KT. AFT 03/09Z...VFR CIGS AOA 080...MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR BKN030...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 2000 CDT...A COUPLE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED 45NM N OF THE SPILL IN EAST MAIN PASS AREA AND WEST MAIN PASS AREA...DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE NE. A LARGE AND EXPANDING CLUSTER OF STG TSTMS WAS INDICATED IN THE W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN ASSOC UPR LVL DISTRBNC. CENTROID OF THIS FEATURE 375NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVMT E AT 15KT. STORMS XPNDG EWD TO NR 91.9W AND NWD TO 25.4N. GIVEN CURRENT SPEED AND DIRECTION...ETA AT SPILL LOCATION...33 HOURS/0100 CDT THU. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.75 FT AT 1954 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.47 FT AT 2259 CDT. WYCM6 1.17 FT AT 1954 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.16 FT AT 0201 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........31 28 26 33 47 54 54 54 61 61 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 81 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............73 75 77 78 78 78 78 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 65 67 67 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 83 84 83 82 RH..............80 78 73 67 70 72 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3000 3000 3600 3600 MIX HGT (M).....580 730 910 910 1100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC CH .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............72 74 77 79 82 84 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3300 2700 2700 2100 2500 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1010 820 820 640 760 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 16 S 15 S 15 S 15 SW 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100601.DEEPW.15/LIX