FNAK79 PAFG 031407
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
607 AM AKDT THU JUN 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1824 AKDT ON JUNE 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH SOUTH OF THE FIRE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED
TO LIFT NORTH AND WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THERE WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ALONG THIS TROUGH
TO TOUCH OFF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AN EASTERLY WAVE MAY PRODUCE A PERIOD OF STEADIER RAIN TONIGHT...BUT
THE BEST CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN WILL LIKELY BE JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-60 PERCENT) WITH PATCHY EARLY
                    MORNING FOG...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH BY NOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER NOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL AFTER NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MATTFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100602.TOKLA.01/AFG