FNUS74 KLIX 021106 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 606 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...WK 1011MB TROF ALG N GLFMEX CST...FM SE LA TO NR KAQQ...NRLY STNRY. WK 1012MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. SFC PRES AT SPOT LOCATION IS 1012MB. UPR LVL DISTRBNC MOVG OUT OF MEXICO AND LWR TX TO ENTER THE W GLFMEX TODAY...PROGRESSING ENE. LIMITD CONVECTION OVR GLFMEX ATTM...XPTD TO INCR IN CLUSTERS AND SQUALLS DURG THE DAY OVR MID-GLFMEX...SPRDG NE INTO OPS AREA OVRNGT/ERLY THU. Q35-50KT PSBL OVRNGT/THU AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 10KT 250FT...SSW 10KT 500FT...SSW 10KT 1KFT...SSW 9KT 2KFT... SE 8KT 3KFT... SE 6KT 4KFT... SE 5KT 5KFT... S 8KT MAX WIND...252/45KT 36.0KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3100FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5100FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5100FT. INV-V 4C TO 980MB/900FT...V-DRY ABV. SHALLOW MOIST LYR 5C AT 675MB/11.3KFT. LI -5...SBCAPE 2450 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 241/04KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021051Z AUTO 18004KT 10SM FEW027 26/23 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP124 T02610228 TSNO METAR KGAO 021043Z AUTO 09003KT BKN024 BKN030 BKN035 23/23 A2988 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 021100Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021055Z AUTO 20010G15KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021055Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM 28/24 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021055Z AUTO 21009KT 10SM FEW024 29/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021055Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM SCT021 SCT027 BKN039 28/24 A2988 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020...LCL MVFR BKN020 MS CST. AFT 15Z...VFR SCT030...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G25KT TOPS 450. AFT 21Z...MVFR BKN-OVC025...SCT 1-2SM TSRA BKN018CB TOPS 450... BECMG AFT 09Z NMRS...PSBL Q35-50KT. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...AREAS MVFR BKN025... ISOLD SHRA TOPS 350. AFT 18Z...SCT-NMRS 2SM TSRA BNK020CB G25KT TOPS 400. AFT 03Z...NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB Q40KT TOPS 450. KHUM 020815Z 0208/0306 VRB03KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 0209/0211 5SM BR SCT020 FM021100 VRB03KT 6SM BR VCSH SCT020CB TEMPO 0211/0212 5SM BR FM021400 17006KT P6SM VCSH SCT027CB SCT250 TEMPO 0214/0218 VRB05G15KT 4SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC250 FM021800 15008KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 0220/0224 TSRA BKN040CB KHSA 021000Z 0210/0306 00000KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT025 SCT250 FM021800 18008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT015 BKN035...SCT-NMRS TSRA. LGT SW WND...XCP G30KT IN TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0500 CDT...ISOLD LGT SHWRS BTWN 20-50NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NNE 6KT. CLOSEST LGTNG 58NM N OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.21 FT AT 0538 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.67 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 0.82 FT AT 0553 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.10 FT AT 1512 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........61 65 65 65 67 67 67 65 65 65 64 64 WEATHER COV.....CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 81 82 83 84 84 85 85 85 85 84 84 RH..............80 78 75 73 69 69 67 67 67 68 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 2 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.7 3 3 3 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S25............B25.............B20............. SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 70 85 85 64 60 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 74 77 82 85 87 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2300 2000 2000 2100 2300 MIX HGT (M).....940 700 610 610 640 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SE 16 SE 20 SE 20 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 64 70 70 48 61 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 83 82 RH..............87 82 77 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SE 13 E 12 E 11 SE 10 SE 8 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 25 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2200 2400 2400 2400 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 670 730 730 730 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 10 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 4 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............5 5 5 5 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100602.DEEPW.02/LIX