FNUS74 KLIX 021207 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 707 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...WK 1012MB TROF ALG N GLFMEX CST...FM SE LA TO NR KAQQ...NRLY STNRY. WK 1013MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. SFC PRES AT SPOT LOCATION IS 1012MB. UPR LVL DISTRBNC MOVG OUT OF MEXICO AND LWR TX TO ENTER THE W GLFMEX TODAY...PROGRESSING ENE. LIMITD CONVECTION OVR GLFMEX ATTM...XPTD TO INCR IN CLUSTERS AND SQUALLS DURG THE DAY OVR MID-GLFMEX...SPRDG NE INTO OPS AREA OVRNGT/ERLY THU. Q35-50KT PSBL OVRNGT/THU AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER LOWER MS CANYON... AT 650 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... OVER COASTAL WATERS FROM 56 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...OR 26NM SW OF MS CANYON 252...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OFF TERREBONNE PARISH... AT 646 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... FROM 8 NM NORTH OF ISLE DERNIERS TO 26 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN MS CANYON... AT 641 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...FROM 22 NM SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO 51 NM SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 10KT 250FT...SSW 10KT 500FT...SSW 10KT 1KFT...SSW 9KT 2KFT... SE 8KT 3KFT... SE 6KT 4KFT... SE 5KT 5KFT... S 8KT MAX WIND...251/45KT 35.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3100FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5100FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 5100FT. INV-V 4C TO 980MB/900FT...V-DRY ABV. SHALLOW MOIST LYR 5C AT 675MB/11.3KFT. LI -5...SBCAPE 2450 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 241/04KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021151Z AUTO 15004KT 10SM FEW022 BKN029 27/24 A2990 RMK AO2 RAB37E48 SLP126 P0000 60000 T02670239 10272 20256 51015 TSNO METAR KGAO 021203Z AUTO 00000KT VCTS 25/23 A2989 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 021150Z 00000KT 7SM SCT100 22/22 A2990 METAR KIPN 021200Z AUTO 19007KT 10SM FEW021 28/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021155Z AUTO 20010KT 9SM CLR 28/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021155Z AUTO 17012KT 10SM 28/24 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021155Z AUTO 21007KT 10SM CLR 29/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021155Z AUTO 16009KT 10SM FEW021 FEW033 SCT045 29/23 A2989 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025...LCL MVFR BKN025 MS CST... SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G25KT TOPS 450. AFT 21Z...MVFR BKN-OVC025 ...SCT 1-2SM TSRA BKN018CB TOPS 450...BECMG AFT 09Z NMRS... PSBL Q35-50KT. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...AREAS MVFR BKN025... SCT TSRA G30KT TOPS 500...BECMG NMRS AFT 16Z. KHUM 021128Z 0212/0312 VRB03KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB SCT250 TEMPO 0213/0215 5SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC200 FM021500 17006KT P6SM VCTS SCT027CB SCT250 TEMPO 0215/0218 VRB05G15KT 4SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC250 FM021800 16010KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB SCT250 TEMPO 0220/0223 TSRA BKN040CB FM030200 13007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB TEMPO 0307/0311 3SM SHRA OVC020CB KHSA 021128Z 0212/0312 00000KT P6SM FEW025 BKN250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT025 SCT250 FM021700 18008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB FM022300 16010KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB OVC250 TEMPO 0223/0302 TSRA BKN030CB OVC060 FM030200 15009KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB OVC100 PROB30 0305/0310 SHRA FM031000 09010KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB OVC090= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT015 BKN035...SCT-NMRS TSRA. LGT SW WND...XCP G30KT IN TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT...A LN OF TSTMS...ONE STG...DEVLPD 54NM W TO 71NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION. FQT LGTNG IN LN 56NM WSW...NR 28.5N/89.3W...MOVG ENE 8KT. OTHER SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS WITHIN 7-31NM OF SPILL LOCCATION. CLOSEST LGTNG TO SPILL LOCATION...30NM SW. OVERALL COVERG AND INTNSTY XPCTD TO INCR THRU THE AM. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.35 FT AT 0638 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.67 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 0.98 FT AT 0623 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.10 FT AT 1512 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........65 65 65 67 67 67 65 65 65 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 83 84 84 85 85 85 85 84 84 RH..............78 75 73 69 69 67 67 67 68 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........B25.....................O20................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......SM SM SM LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 70 85 85 64 60 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 74 77 82 85 87 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2300 2000 2000 2100 2300 MIX HGT (M).....940 700 610 610 640 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SE 16 SE 20 SE 20 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 64 70 70 48 61 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 83 82 RH..............87 82 77 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SE 13 E 12 E 11 SE 10 SE 8 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 25 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2200 2400 2400 2400 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 670 730 730 730 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 10 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 4 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............5 5 5 5 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100602.DEEPW.03/LIX