FNUS74 KLIX 021313 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 813 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...WK 1012MB TROF ALG N GLFMEX CST...FM SE LA TO NR KAQQ...NRLY STNRY. WK 1014MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/90W. SFC PRES AT SPOT LOCATION IS 1013MB. 1009MB IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN SFC TROF RESPONDING TO APRCHG UPR LVL DISTRBNC. UPR LVL DISTRBNC MOVG OUT OF MEXICO AND LWR TX TO ENTER THE W GLFMEX TODAY...PROGRESSING ENE. SHWRS/TSTMS INCRSG OVR N GLFMEX ATTM...XPTD TO INCR IN CLUSTERS AND SQUALLS DURG THE DAY OVR MID-GLFMEX...SPRDG NE INTO OPS AREA. Q35-50KT PSBL THIS EVE THRU THU AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 9KT 250FT... SW 9KT 500FT... SW 9KT 1KFT...SSW 10KT 2KFT... S 10KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT... S 6KT 5KFT... SW 9KT MAX WIND...252/41KT 35.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 3400FT. INV-V 4C DEP TO 980MB/900FT...V-DRY ABV. SHALLOW MOIST LYR 5C DEP AT 650MB/12.0KFT. P.W. 1.37 IN. LI -6...SBCAPE 252 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 241/04KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...255/04KT 2KFT...250/08KT 3KFT...255/06KT 4KFT...245/10KT 6KFT...225/14KT MAX WIND...255/41KT 46.0KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 400FT. SATURATED TO 1000MB/400FT...MOIST TO 950MB/1800FT...V-DRY TO 750MB...MOIST LYR BTWN 700-650MB...V-DRY 3C OR GRTR ABV. P.W. 1.86 IN. LI -9...SBCAPE 4279 J/KG...30R75 STM MOTION 272/05KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W SPECI KBVE 021303Z AUTO 24006KT 1 3/4SM +RA SCT017 BKN027 BKN035 25/22 A2993 RMK AO2 RAB00 P0001 TSNO METAR KGAO 021303Z AUTO 03004KT TS 26/23 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E THRU W METAR KHSA 021252Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 25/24 A2991 METAR KIPN 021300Z AUTO 16006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021255Z AUTO 20009KT 9SM FEW100 28/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021255Z AUTO 22014G21KT 1 3/4SM BR 25/23 A2990 RMK A01 VIS 1/4V5 METAR KMDJ 021255Z AUTO 20010KT 10SM OVC100 29/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021255Z AUTO 17009KT 10SM BKN044 BKN050 29/24 A2990 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025...SCT MVFR BKN025 LA CST... SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G25KT TOPS 450. AFT 21Z...MVFR BKN-OVC025 ...SCT 1-2SM TSRA BKN018CB TOPS 450...BECMG AFT 09Z NMRS... PSBL Q35-50KT. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...AREAS MVFR BKN025... SCT TSRA G30KT TOPS 500...BECMG NMRS AFT 16Z. AFT 00Z SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB Q40KT TOPS 450. KHUM 021128Z 0212/0312 VRB03KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB SCT250 TEMPO 0213/0215 5SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC200 FM021500 17006KT P6SM VCTS SCT027CB SCT250 TEMPO 0215/0218 VRB05G15KT 4SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC250 FM021800 16010KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB SCT250 TEMPO 0220/0223 TSRA BKN040CB FM030200 13007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB TEMPO 0307/0311 3SM SHRA OVC020CB KHSA 021128Z 0212/0312 00000KT P6SM FEW025 BKN250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT025 SCT250 FM021700 18008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB FM022300 16010KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB OVC250 TEMPO 0223/0302 TSRA BKN030CB OVC060 FM030200 15009KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB OVC100 PROB30 0305/0310 SHRA FM031000 09010KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB OVC090= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT015 BKN035...SCT-NMRS TSRA. LGT SW WND...XCP G30KT IN TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT...SCT TSTMS WITHIN 25NM OF SPILL LOCATION...16NM E...AND 10NM SW...MOVG ENE 8KT. SCT TSTMS INDICATED 41NM NW-W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG ENE 8KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...10NM SW. OVERALL COVERG AND INTNSTY XPCTD TO INCR THRU THE AM. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.45 FT AT 0738 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.64 FT AT 1109 CDT. WYCM6 1.15 FT AT 0755 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.15 FT AT 1455 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.4F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........65 65 67 67 67 65 65 65 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 83 84 84 85 85 85 85 84 84 RH..............75 73 69 69 67 67 67 68 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........B20................................... SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 70 85 85 64 60 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 74 77 82 85 87 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2300 2000 2000 2100 2300 MIX HGT (M).....940 700 610 610 640 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SE 16 SE 20 SE 20 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 64 70 70 48 61 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 83 82 RH..............87 82 77 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SE 13 E 12 E 11 SE 10 SE 8 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 25 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2200 2400 2400 2400 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 670 730 730 730 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 10 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 4 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............5 5 5 5 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100602.DEEPW.04/LIX