FNUS74 KLIX 021516 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1016 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...GLF BREEZE FNT MOVG INLAND FM ATCHAFALAYA BAY TO BRETON SOUND...MOVG NE 12KT. 1014MB HIGH CNTRD NR 28N/89W. SFC PRES AT SPOT LOCATION IS 1014MB. 1009MB IN W-CNTRL GLFMEX IN SFC TROF IN RESPONSE TO APRCHG UPR LVL DISTRBNC. UPR LVL DISTRBNC MOVG OUT OF MEXICO AND LWR TX TO ENTER THE W GLFMEX TODAY...PROGRESSING ENE. SHWRS/TSTMS INCRSG OVR N GLFMEX ATTM...XPTD TO INCR IN CLUSTERS AND SQUALLS DURG THE DAY OVR MID-GLFMEX...SPRDG NE INTO OPS AREA. Q35-50KT PSBL THIS EVE THRU THU AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER BARATARIA BAY... AT 916 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...FROM 6 NM NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE TO 11 NM EAST OF BARATARIA BAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. STORMS APPEAR TO BE BUILDING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF BELOW TERREBONNE PARISH... AT 912 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS...FROM CAILLOU BAY TO 47 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...MOVING NORTH AT 15 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 7KT 250FT... SE 6KT 500FT... SE 6KT 1KFT... S 8KT 2KFT... SE 12KT 3KFT... SE 10KT 4KFT... SE 4KT 5KFT... SW 4KT MAX WIND...261/37KT 35.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 2700FT. INV-V 2C DEP TO 950MB/1800FT...V-DRY ABV. MOIST LYR 3C DEP 700-600MB. P.W. 1.74 IN. LI -5...SBCAPE 2248 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 233/05KT. NOTE: P.W. INCRSD 0.40 INCHES PAST HR. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021451Z AUTO 19004KT 7SM -RA SCT023 25/23 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP137 P0012 60024 T02500233 50003 TSNO METAR KGAO 021503Z AUTO 31004KT TS 26/23 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 021455Z 00000KT 10SM SCT015 BKN050 29/22 A2991 METAR KIPN 021500Z AUTO 14006KT 10SM SCT080 28/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021455Z AUTO 18011KT 9SM CLR 30/23 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021455Z AUTO 16015KT 10SM 27/23 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021455Z AUTO 19012KT 10SM SCT021 SCT031 29/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021455Z AUTO 06008G13KT 3/4SM HZ BKN003 OVC022 26/22 A2993 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...LA CST...MVFR BKN025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G25KT TOPS 450. MS CST...VFR CAVOK. AFT 17Z...MVFR BKN-OVC025 ...SCT 1-2SM TSRA BKN018CB TOPS 450...BECMG AFT 09Z NMRS... PSBL Q35-50KT. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...AREAS MVFR BKN025... SCT TSRA G30KT TOPS 500...BECMG NMRS AFT 16Z. AFT 00Z SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB Q40KT TOPS 450. KHUM 021128Z 0212/0312 VRB03KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB SCT250 TEMPO 0213/0215 5SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC200 FM021500 17006KT P6SM VCTS SCT027CB SCT250 TEMPO 0215/0218 VRB05G15KT 4SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC250 FM021800 16010KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB SCT250 TEMPO 0220/0223 TSRA BKN040CB FM030200 13007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB TEMPO 0307/0311 3SM SHRA OVC020CB KHSA 021128Z 0212/0312 00000KT P6SM FEW025 BKN250 FM021400 20005KT P6SM SCT025 SCT250 FM021700 18008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0219/0223 TSRA BKN040CB FM022300 16010KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB OVC250 TEMPO 0223/0302 TSRA BKN030CB OVC060 FM030200 15009KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB OVC100 PROB30 0305/0310 SHRA FM031000 09010KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB OVC090= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT015 BKN035...SCT-NMRS TSRA. LGT SW WND...XCP G30KT IN TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1000 CDT...TSTMS WERE INCRSG IN COVERG FM 17NW TO 53SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG ENE 8KT. OCNL LGNTG THESE CELLS 15NM WNW AND 28NM WSW. CLOSEST LGTNG...15NM WNW. OVERALL COVERG AND INTNSTY XPCTD TO CONT INCRG FM THE WEST THIS AM. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.63 FT AT 0958 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.64 FT AT 1109 CDT. WYCM6 1.35 FT AT 0958 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.15 FT AT 1455 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.7F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........67 67 67 65 65 65 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 85 85 85 85 84 84 RH..............69 69 67 67 67 68 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........B20.........O20................ SEAS............2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 70 85 85 64 60 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 74 77 82 85 87 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2300 2000 2000 2100 2300 MIX HGT (M).....940 700 610 610 640 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SE 16 SE 20 SE 20 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 64 70 70 48 61 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 83 82 RH..............87 82 77 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SE 13 E 12 E 11 SE 10 SE 8 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 25 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2200 2400 2400 2400 2700 MIX HGT (M).....700 670 730 730 730 820 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 10 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 4 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............5 5 5 5 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100602.DEEPW.06/LIX