FNUS74 KLIX 021914 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 214 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1400 CDT...FLAT 1014MB PRES FIELD ACRS THE N GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPOT LOCATION IS 1014MB. 1009MB ALG LWR TX CST. UPR LVL DISTRBNC MOVG OUT OF MEXICO AND LWR TX ENTERG W GLFMEX ...PROGRESSING ENE. SHWRS/TSTMS INCRSG OVR N GLFMEX ATTM...XPTD TO IMPACT OPS AREA IN CLUSTERS AND SQUALLS REMNDR TDY. Q35-50KT PSBL THIS EVE THRU THU AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY. ...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS... AT 141 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... FROM COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM TO COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...OR FROM 16 NM EAST OF BRETON SOUND TO 37 NM SOUTHEAST OF TIMBALIER ISLAND...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. ...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN TERREBONNE WATERS... AT 137 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... FROM COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM TO 24 NM SOUTH OF COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...OR FROM 8 NM SOUTHWEST OF ISLE DERNIERS TO 62 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...MOVING EAST AT 5 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSE 7KT 250FT... S 9KT 500FT... S 10KT 1KFT... S 12KT 2KFT... S 17KT 3KFT... SE 15KT 4KFT...SSE 10KT 5KFT... S 9KT MAX WIND...251/43KT 46.7KFT. COND STABLE LAPSE SFC TO 6700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 6700FT. SATURATED PSEUDO ABV 650MB. P.W. 1.96 IN. LI -3. SBCAPE 785 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 192/11KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021851Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM -RA CLR 24/22 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP131 P0001 T02440222 TSNO METAR KGAO 021903Z AUTO 18007G14KT VCTS 25/23 A2986 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 021855Z 23006KT 7SM SCT035 BKN090 26/23 A2989 METAR KIPN 021900Z AUTO VRB05G10KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021855Z AUTO 19010KT 9SM FEW020 FEW046 SCT100 31/23 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021855Z AUTO 20013KT 9SM 26/22 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021855Z AUTO 14013KT 9SM SCT025 SCT036 BKN043 26/22 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021855Z AUTO 07007KT 10SM FEW075 FEW085 SCT110 24/22 A2989 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...LA CST...MVFR OVC015-025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G25KT FQT LTGICCG TOPS 450. MS CST...MVFR BKN-OVC025...SCT 1-2SM TSRA BKN018CB TOPS 450...BECMG AFT 09Z NMRS...PSBL Q35-45KT. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...AREAS MVFR BKN025... SCT TSRA G30KT TOPS 500...BECMG NMRS AFT 16Z. AFT 00Z SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB Q40KT TOPS 450. KHUM 021740Z 0218/0318 13008KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB SCT250 TEMPO 0219/0222 VRB10KT 3SM -TSRA BKN040CB FM030200 13007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB TEMPO 0307/0311 3SM SHRA BKN025CB OVC050 FM031200 04005KT P6SM BKN025CB KHSA 021740Z 0218/0318 17009KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN080 TEMPO 0221/0224 3SM TSRA BKN040CB FM030200 15007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB OVC100 PROB30 0305/0310 SHRA FM031000 09005KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB OVC090 PROB30 0310/0314 TSRA= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT015 BKN035...SCT-NMRS TSRA. LGT SW WND...XCP G30KT IN TSRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1400 CDT...LARGE AREA OF MDT RAFL OVER SPILL LOCATION. STG TSTM 14NM SE...MOVG NE 10KT...FQT LGTNG THIS CELL. LN OF STG TSTMS MOVG OFF THE MOUTH OF THE MS RVR...MOVG SE 5KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.58 FT AT 1338 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.56 FT AT 2259 CDT. WYCM6 2.20 FT AT 1338 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.07 FT AT 1455 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.5F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........65 65 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TEMP............85 85 84 84 RH..............67 68 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.1 3.1 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........O20........... SEAS............3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........64 70 85 85 64 60 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 82 81 80 79 78 RH..............70 74 77 82 85 87 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2300 2100 2100 2100 2600 MIX HGT (M).....940 700 640 640 640 790 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 5 S 13 S 13 SE 22 S 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 S 2 S 6 S 6 SE 10 S 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............3 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 64 70 70 48 61 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 80 82 83 83 82 RH..............87 82 77 74 74 76 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 12 E 10 SE 9 S 8 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3100 3100 3100 3000 3100 MIX HGT (M).....790 940 940 940 910 940 TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 SE 12 E 13 E 13 NE 16 N 5 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9 SE 5 E 6 E 6 NE 7 N 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............5 5 5 5 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH CH LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100602.DEEPW.10/LIX