FNUS74 KLIX 031016 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 516 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0500 CDT...1003MB LOW PRES SYS ALG UPR TX CST...MOVG INTO WRN GLFMEX. LRG SQLN APRCHG 93W...MOVG E 35KT. 1013MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. 1011MB HIGH NR 28N/90W TO WKN AS SQLN APRCHS LATER THIS AM. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG LA CST. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 15KT 500FT... SE 15KT 1KFT... SE 16KT 2KFT... SE 14KT 3KFT... S 11KT 4KFT... S 9KT 5KFT...SSW 10KT MAX WIND...254/48KT 46.6KFT. DRU LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 1700FT. INV-V 4C DEP 976MB/100KFT...V-DRY TO 925MB...1C DEP 700MB AND ABV. P.W. 1.80 IN. LI -6. SBCAPE 2151 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 227/06KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 030951Z AUTO 13004KT 6SM BR CLR 24/22 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP094 T02390222 TSNO METAR KGAO 031004Z AUTO 11003KT 23/22 A2979 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE PWINO METAR KHSA 030055Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/22 A2984 METAR KIPN 031000Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 030955Z AUTO 19018KT 7SM FEW020 FEW027 28/24 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 030955Z AUTO 17018KT 10SM 27/23 A2975 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 030955Z AUTO 18017KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 030955Z AUTO 18013KT 10SM SCT020 SCT055 BKN065 28/24 A2979 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW022...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...BECMG FM W-E MVFR BKN-OVC025...NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT TOP 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 030940Z 0310/0406 16003KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 0310/0311 5SM BR FM031100 04005KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB TEMPO 0314/0317 VRB05G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN025CB OVC060 FM031700 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN060 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 030520Z 0306/0406 20005KT P6SM SCT050 FM030800 20010KT P6SM VCSH BKN040 FM031000 09005KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB OVC090 TEMPO 0311/0315 TSRA BKN025CB FM032000 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB OVC100 AMD NOT SKED TIL 031200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0500 CDT...A SQLN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDS ALG 93S FM SABINE PASS TO W-CNTRL GLFMEX...MOVG E 35KT. FQT-CONT LTGNG ALG THIS LN. SCT TSTMS DEVLPG RAPIDLY OVER ATWATER VALLEY AND IN NR SHORE WATERS FM 15NM NE OF MOUTH OF MS RVR TO MS SND...MOVG N 10KT. OCNL LGTNG THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG 75NM N OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.39 FT AT 0441 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.11 FT AT 0441 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........M 60 64 64 64 80 80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....M NUM WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....M TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............M 78 78 79 79 80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............M 90 90 89 89 86 84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..M S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..M 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.M 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...M 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....M 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.M S S S S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.M 21 13 13 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).M 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).M 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........F22.........S25.........O18............080......... SEAS............M 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......M RO CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 10 W 11 W 12 W 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 10 W 9 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.01/LIX