FNUS74 KLIX 031107 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 607 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...1003MB LOW PRES SYS ALG UPR TX CST...MOVG INTO WRN GLFMEX. LRG SQLN APRCHG 92W...MOVG E 40KT. 1013MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1009MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG LA CST. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. ...SEVERE SQUALL LINE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COASTAL WATERS... AT 525 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING GALE FORCE GUSTS 40 TO 50 KNOTS...FROM 118 NM WEST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 223 NM SOUTHWEST OF CAILLOU BAY...OR FROM 102 NM WEST OF LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO 222 NM SOUTHWEST OF POINT AU FER ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 45 KNOTS. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL BE CROSSING WATERS NEAR POINT AU FER ISLAND AROUND 9 AM...VICINITY OF PORT FOURCHON AND GRAND ISLE AROUND 1015 TO 1030...THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY 1100 AM...AND WATERS EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING MS CANYON 252 OPERATIONS AREA AROUND 1130 AM CDT. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SQUALL LINE LATER THIS MORNING. SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NWS SLIDELL OFFICE AS THE SQUALL LINE GETS CLOSER TO THE ATCHAFALAYA BAY. FREQUENT LIGHTNING WAS ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THIS LINE ALONG WITH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH SEAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS... AT 541 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... FROM 17 NM WEST OF MISSISSIPPI SOUND TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHANDELEUR SOUND...OR FROM 3 NM SOUTHEAST OF PASS CHRISTIAN TO 33 NM EAST OF PILOTTOWN...MOVING NORTH AND EAST AT 10 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 14KT 250FT... SE 14KT 500FT... SE 14KT 1KFT... SE 15KT 2KFT... SE 15KT 3KFT... S 12KT 4KFT...SSE 9KT 5KFT... S 9KT MAX WIND...247/49KT 46.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1600FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 1600FT. INV-V 2C DEP 950MB/1700FT...V-DRY TO 925MB...1C DEP 700MB AND ABV... SLGTLY DRIER ABV 500MB. P.W. 1.86 IN. LI -6. SBCAPE 1770 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 224/06KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031051Z AUTO 16007KT 9SM CLR 25/23 A2980 RMK AO2 SLP090 T02500233 TSNO METAR KGAO 031044Z AUTO 14003KT 23/22 A2979 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE PWINO METAR KHSA 030055Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/22 A2984 METAR KIPN 031100Z AUTO 20008KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031055Z AUTO 19016G22KT 8SM FEW020 FEW030 28/24 A2979 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031055Z AUTO 16019KT 10SM 27/24 A2976 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031055Z AUTO 19015KT CLR 28/24 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031055Z AUTO 18014KT 10SM FEW020 FEW075 28/24 A2978 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW022...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...BECMG FM W-E MVFR BKN-OVC025...NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOP 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 030940Z 0310/0406 16003KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 0310/0311 5SM BR FM031100 04005KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB TEMPO 0314/0317 VRB05G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN025CB OVC060 FM031700 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN060 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 030520Z 0306/0406 20005KT P6SM SCT050 FM030800 20010KT P6SM VCSH BKN040 FM031000 09005KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB OVC090 TEMPO 0311/0315 TSRA BKN025CB FM032000 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB OVC100 AMD NOT SKED TIL 031200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0600 CDT...A SQLN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDS ALG 92.5W...250NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 40KT. FQT-CONT LTGNG ALG THIS LN. SCT TSTMS DEVLPG RAPIDLY OVER ATWATER VALLEY AND IN NR SHORE WATERS FM 25NM NE OF MOUTH OF MS RVR TO MS CST...MOVG N 10KT. OCNL-FQT LGTNG AND PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG 15NM N OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.36 FT AT 0553 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.24 FT AT 0553 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........60 64 64 64 80 80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....NUM WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............78 78 79 79 80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............90 90 89 89 86 84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 13 13 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........S22....B25.........O18.....080................. SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 10 W 11 W 12 W 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 10 W 9 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.02/LIX