FNUS74 KLIX 031212 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 712 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...1004MB LOW PRES SYS ALG UPR TX CST VCNTY GALVESTON BAY...MOVG INTO NWRN GLFMEX. LRG SQLN ALG 92W...MOVG E 40KT. 1013MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. GENL WK 1009MB PRES FIELD CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG LA CST. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. ...SEVERE SQUALL LINE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COASTAL WATERS... AT 525 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING GALE FORCE GUSTS 40 TO 50 KNOTS...ALONG 92W OFF VERMILION PARISH... MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL BE CROSSING WATERS NEAR POINT AU FER ISLAND AROUND 9 AM...VICINITY OF PORT FOURCHON AND GRAND ISLE AROUND 1015 TO 1030...THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY 1100 AM...AND WATERS EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING MS CANYON 252 OPERATIONS AREA AROUND 1130 AM CDT. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SQUALL LINE LATER THIS MORNING. SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NWS SLIDELL OFFICE AS THE SQUALL LINE GETS CLOSER TO THE ATCHAFALAYA BAY. FREQUENT LIGHTNING WAS ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THIS LINE ALONG WITH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH SEAS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS... AT 641 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... FROM BILOXI AND OCEAN SPRINGS MS TO 44 NM NORTHEAST OF PILOTTOWN...MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSE 13KT 250FT...SSE 13KT 500FT...SSE 14KT 1KFT... SE 15KT 2KFT... SE 15KT 3KFT... S 14KT 4KFT...SSE 11KT 5KFT... S 10KT MAX WIND...243/48KT 46.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 1700FT. INV-V 2C DEP 950MB/1700FT...V-DRY TO 925MB...1C DEP 700-600MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.88 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1864 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 226/07KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031151Z AUTO 13005KT 7SM CLR 24/23 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP094 70037 T02440228 10256 20233 51005 TSNO METAR KGAO 031204Z AUTO 00000KT 24/23 A2979 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 031151Z 00000KT 7SM SCT050 22/22 A2981 METAR KIPN 031200Z AUTO 16009KT 10SM FEW022 FEW033 FEW065 28/24 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031155Z AUTO 19019KT 7SM SCT021 SCT120 28/24 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031155Z AUTO 16018KT 10SM 28/24 A2976 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031155Z AUTO 18015KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031155Z AUTO 18014KT 10SM FEW020 FEW024 29/24 A2979 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW022...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...BECMG FM W-E MVFR BKN-OVC025...NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOP 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031127Z 0312/0412 04005KT P6SM VCTS BKN030CB TEMPO 0314/0317 VRB05G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN025CB OVC060 FM031700 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN060 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM041000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 031127Z 0312/0412 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0315/0319 VRB05G20KT 4SM TSRA BKN030CB FM031900 05006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB OVC250 FM032200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM040000 09005KT P6SM SCT045 BKN250 FM040800 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT...A SQLN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDS ALG 92W...220NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 35KT. FQT-CONT LTGNG ALG THIS LN. ISOLD TSTMS BTWN 14-30NM OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG N 10KT. CLOSEST CELL...14NM W. CLOSEST LGTNG...60NM NNW. LARGE CLUSTER OF TSTMS FM MS CST TO 69NM S OF OCEAN SPRINGS...MOVG N 10KT. OCNL LGTNG AND PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS A FEW OF THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.48 FT AT 0656 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.39 FT AT 0656 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 64 64 80 80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............78 79 79 80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............90 89 89 86 84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........B22.........B25....O18......B80............ SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 10 W 11 W 12 W 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 10 W 9 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.03/LIX