FNUS74 KLIX 031308 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 808 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0900 CDT...1004MB LOW PRES SYS ALG UPR TX CST VCNTY CHANNELVIEW TX...MOVG INTO NWRN GLFMEX. WM FNT XTNDG FM LOW ALG LA CST. LRG SQLN S OF MARSH ISL INTO W-CNTL GLFMEX...MOVG E 35KT. 1013MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. GENL WK 1009MB PRES FIELD CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG SE LA CST THIS AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. ...STRONG TO SEVERE SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING ATCHAFLAYA BAY... AT 727 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING GALE FORCE GUSTS 34 TO 50 KNOTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...FROM 71 NM WEST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 185 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...MOVING EAST AT 35 KNOTS. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OVER CAILLOU BAY AT 915 AM CDT... OVER ISLE DERNIERS AT 925 AM CDT... OVER TERREBONNE BAY AT 955 AM CDT... OVER TIMBALIER BAY AT 1015 AM CDT... OVER PORT FOURCHON AT 1030 AM CDT... OVER GRAND ISLE AT 1045 AM CDT... OVER BARATARIA BAY AT 1105 AM CDT... MARINERS CAN EXPECT SQUALLS 35 TO 45 KNOTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING... AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES. BOATERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS FAST MOVING SQUALL LINE AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THIS SQUALL PASSES. INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. PERSONS PERFORMING OIL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS ALONG THE LOUISIANA SHORES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE COVER IF THREATENING WEATHER IS OBSERVED. SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NWS SLIDELL OFFICE AS THIS SQUALL MOVES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST THIS MORNING. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSE 13KT 250FT...SSE 13KT 500FT...SSE 14KT 1KFT... SE 15KT 2KFT... SE 15KT 3KFT... S 14KT 4KFT...SSE 11KT 5KFT... S 10KT MAX WIND...243/48KT 46.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 1700FT. INV-V 2C DEP 950MB/1700FT...V-DRY TO 925MB...1C DEP 700-600MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.88 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1864 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 226/07KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...045/02KT 1KFT...185/15KT 2KFT...180/17KT 3KFT...195/12KT 4KFT...220/13KT 5KFT...230/13KT MAX WIND...245/55KT 47.0KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 375FT...PSEUDO ABV 375FT. SATURATED TO 863MB/4500FT...AVG 3C DEP TO 650MB...V-DRY TO 450MB... VERY DRY ABV 450MB. P.W. 1.85 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 3053 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 232/04KT. WET-MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031251Z AUTO 10005KT 8SM FEW021 26/23 A2982 RMK AO2 SLP098 T02610233 TSNO METAR KGAO 031304Z AUTO 13005KT 27/25 A2981 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 031251Z 03003KT 10SM SCT060 22/22 A2983 METAR KIPN 031300Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031255Z AUTO 18019KT 8SM SCT018 SCT023 SCT120 29/25 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031255Z AUTO 17020KT 9SM 28/25 A2975 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031255Z AUTO 18017KT 10SM SCT022 SCT027 29/24 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031255Z AUTO 18013KT 10SM FEW018 SCT023 BKN110 29/24 A2980 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MS CST...MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G20KT TOPS 250. LA CST VFR FEW022...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z...BECMG FM W-E MVFR BKN-OVC025...NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031230Z 0313/0412 10009KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB OVC250 TEMPO 0314/0317 VRB05G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN025CB OVC060 FM031700 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN060 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM041000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 031127Z 0312/0412 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0315/0319 VRB05G20KT 4SM TSRA BKN030CB FM031900 05006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB OVC250 FM032200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM040000 09005KT P6SM SCT045 BKN250 FM040800 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT...A SQLN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDS ALG 91.5W...190NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 35KT. FQT-CONT LTGNG ALG THIS LN. ISOLD LGT SHWRS BTWN 11-27NM OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG N 10KT. CLOSEST CELL...11NM SW. CLOSEST LGTNG...58NM NNW. LN OF TSTMS FM EXTREME SW AL CST TO 55NM S OF MOBILE BAY...MOVG NE 12KT. OCNL LGTNG AND PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS A FEW OF THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.52 FT AT 0754 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.65 FT AT 0754 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 64 80 80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............79 79 80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............89 89 86 84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........B22.....B25.....O18.......O80........... SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 10 W 11 W 12 W 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 10 W 9 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.04/LIX