FNUS74 KLIX 031415 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 915 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0900 CDT...1004MB LOW PRES SYS ALG UPR TX CST N OF HOU METRO AREA. 1007MB MESO-HIGH OVR W GLFMEX. WM FNT XTNDG FM LOW ALG LA CST. LRG SQLN S OF ATCHAFALAYA BAY INTO CNTRL GLFMEX...MOVG E 35KT. 1013MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. GENL WK 1009MB PRES FIELD CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG SE LA CST THIS AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. ...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM OVER LOWER MS CANYON... AT 829 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...ABOUT 58 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MS RVR...28NM SSW OF MS CANYON 252...MOVING N 25 KNOTS. THIS TSTM WILL PASS NEAR MS CANYON 252 AROUND 930 AM CDT. ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...INCLUDING CAILLOU BAY...ISLE DERNIERS AND TERREBONNE BAY UNTIL 1015 AM CDT. AT 812 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM 56 NM WEST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 126 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...OR FROM 39 NM WEST OF LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO 126 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...MOVING EAST AT 35 KNOTS. * THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR OVER CAILLOU BAY BY 940 AM CDT OVER ISLE DERNIERS BY 950 AM CDT OVER TERREBONNE BAY BY 1015 AM CDT .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 13KT 250FT... S 13KT 500FT... S 13KT 1KFT... S 13KT 2KFT... S 18KT 3KFT... SE 16KT 4KFT... SE 12KT 5KFT... SE 11KT MAX WIND...244/41KT 46.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 2500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 2500FT. V-DRY TO 925MB...CONVRGG CURVES TO 650MB...2C DEP 650-570MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.31 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE UNK J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 229/08KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...045/02KT 1KFT...185/15KT 2KFT...180/17KT 3KFT...195/12KT 4KFT...220/13KT 5KFT...230/13KT MAX WIND...245/55KT 47.0KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 375FT...PSEUDO ABV 375FT. SATURATED TO 863MB/4500FT...AVG 3C DEP TO 650MB...V-DRY TO 450MB... VERY DRY ABV 450MB. P.W. 1.85 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 3053 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 232/04KT. WET-MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031351Z AUTO 16005KT 7SM FEW100 27/24 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP102 T02720244 TSNO METAR KGAO 031404Z AUTO 14009KT SCT016 SCT027 30/25 A2982 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E PWINO METAR KHSA 031351Z 08004KT 10SM SCT080 26/23 A2984 METAR KIPN 031400Z AUTO 14016G25KT 9SM FEW019 SCT029 BKN085 26/21 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031355Z AUTO 18019KT 7SM SCT019 29/24 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031355Z AUTO 17022KT 1SM BR 27/25 A2976 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031355Z AUTO 18018KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031355Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM FEW021 SCT032 BKN120 29/24 A2982 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MS CST...MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G20KT TOPS 250. LA CST SCT-BKN025. AFT 15Z...BECMG FM W-E MVFR BKN-OVC025...NMRS 1/2SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG CB TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031230Z 0313/0412 10009KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB OVC250 TEMPO 0314/0317 VRB05G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN025CB OVC060 FM031700 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN060 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM041000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 031127Z 0312/0412 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0315/0319 VRB05G20KT 4SM TSRA BKN030CB FM031900 05006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB OVC250 FM032200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM040000 09005KT P6SM SCT045 BKN250 FM040800 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0900 CDT...A SQLN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDS FM ATCHAFALAYA BAY INTO THE CNTRL GLFMEX...ABT 160NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 35KT. FQT-CONT LTGNG AND Q35-40KT ALG THIS LN. ISOLD HVY SHWR/PSBL TSTM 23NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NNW 20KT. LN OF TSTMS FM MOBILE BAY TO 50NM S OF MOBILE BAY...MOVG NE 12KT. FQT LGTNG AND PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS A FEW OF THESE CELLS. CLOSEST CELL...23NM SW. CLOSEST LGTNG...58NM NE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.62 FT AT 0858 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.77 FT AT 0858 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 80 80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............79 80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............89 86 84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........B22........O18......O80............ SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 10 W 11 W 12 W 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 10 W 9 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.05/LIX