FNUS74 KLIX 031516 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1016 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...1005MB LOW PRES SYS AND ASSOCD TROF XTNDS FM UPR TX CST N OF HOU METRO AREA. WM FNT XTNDG FM LOW ALG LA CST. LRG SQLN FM MORGAN CITY INTO CNTRL GLFMEX...MOVG E 35KT. 1013MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. GENL WK 1009MB PRES FIELD CNTRL GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG SE LA CST THIS AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. ...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR CSTL WATERS SOUTH AND EAST OF ATCHAFAYALA BAY OUT 60NM. AT 949 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM 29 NM NORTHWEST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 116 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...OR FROM 6 NM WEST OF LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO 114 NM SOUTH OF TIMBALIER ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 35 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 13KT 250FT... S 14KT 500FT... S 14KT 1KFT... S 14KT 2KFT... S 20KT 3KFT... SE 19KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...244/42KT 46.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 2500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 2500FT. V-DRY TO 925MB...CONVRGG CURVES TO 650MB...2C DEP 650-570MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.48 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 3174 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 230/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031451Z AUTO 18012KT 9SM FEW016 28/23 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP102 T02830228 50007 TSNO METAR KGAO 031504Z AUTO 13008KT CLR 30/24 A2981 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E SW AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 031451Z 08004KT 10SM VCTS SCT018 25/23 A2982 METAR KIPN 031500Z AUTO 19011KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031455Z AUTO 18018KT 7SM FEW020 30/25 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031455Z AUTO 19020KT 8SM 26/23 A2976 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031455Z AUTO 17016KT 10SM SCT110 29/25 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031455Z AUTO 18012KT 10SM SCT020 BKN024 BKN033 30/25 A2982 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MS CST...MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G20KT TOPS 250. LA CST SCT-BKN025. AFT 15Z...BECMG FM W-E MVFR BKN-OVC025...NMRS 1/2SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG CB TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031230Z 0313/0412 10009KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB OVC250 TEMPO 0314/0317 VRB05G20KT 3SM TSRA BKN025CB OVC060 FM031700 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN060 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM041000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 031127Z 0312/0412 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0315/0319 VRB05G20KT 4SM TSRA BKN030CB FM031900 05006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB OVC250 FM032200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM040000 09005KT P6SM SCT045 BKN250 FM040800 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1000 CDT...A SQLN OF STG/SVR TSTMS XTNDS FM ATCHAFALAYA BAY NR POINT AU FER ISLAND INTO THE CNTRL GLFMEX...ABT 130NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 35KT. FQT-CONT LTGNG AND Q35-40KT ALG THIS LN. ISOLD SHWR/PSBL TSTM 12NM NW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG N 20KT. CLUSTER OF TSTMS FM MOBILE BAY TO 50NM S OF MOBILE BAY...MOVG NE 15KT. FQT LGTNG AND PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS A FEW OF THESE CELLS. CLOSEST CELL...12NM NW. CLOSEST LGTNG...67NM SSW. THESE CELLS MOVG N 15KT AND XPNDG IN COVRG. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.64 FT AT 0956 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.85 FT AT 0956 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.0F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........80 80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............80 80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............86 84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 8 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........B22....O25...018...080........ SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 10 W 11 W 12 W 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 SW 10 W 9 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.06/LIX