FNUS74 KLIX 031614 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1114 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...1005MB LOW PRES SYS AND ASSOCD TROF XTNDS FM UPR TX CST N OF HOU METRO AREA INTO W GLFMEX ALG 93W. SQLN FM ATCHAFALAYA BAY INTO CNTRL GLFMEX...MOVG E 25KT. 1014MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. GLF BREEZE FNT ALG LA CST...MOVG N 12KT. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG SE LA CST THIS AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT THIS MORNING THROUGH NOON. ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS ATCHAFALAYA BAY TO GRAND ISLE OUT 60NM TIL 1215 CDT. * AT 1012 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM 16 NM NORTHWEST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 131 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...OR FROM 7 NM NORTHEAST OF POINT AU FER ISLAND TO 125 NM SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 25 KNOTS. * THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR OVER ISLE DERNIERS BY 1030 AM CDT OVER TERREBONNE BAY BY 1110 AM CDT OVER TIMBALIER BAY BY 1135 AM CDT NEAR GRAND ISLE BY 1215 PM CDT .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 14KT 250FT... S 15KT 500FT... S 16KT 1KFT... S 18KT 2KFT... S 25KT 3KFT... SE 24KT 4KFT...SSE 21KT 5KFT... S 20KT MAX WIND...242/40KT 46.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 3300FT. INV-V TO 925MB...V-DRY TO 825MB...CONVGG CURVES 1C DEP 630-575MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.50 IN. LI -8. SBCAPE 3129 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 237/11KT. WET-MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031551Z AUTO 17008KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP100 T02940250 TSNO METAR KGAO 031604Z AUTO 12005KT 26/24 A2980 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S THRU NW PWINO METAR KHSA 031553Z 08004KT 7SM VCTS SCT017 BKN045 23/23 A2982 METAR KIPN 031600Z AUTO 19014KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031555Z AUTO 19016KT 4SM HZ SCT020 SCT026 BKN031 29/25 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031555Z AUTO 20017KT 9SM 27/22 A2976 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031555Z AUTO 18017KT 9SM FEW017 29/25 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031555Z AUTO 15008G15KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2981 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MS CST...MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN027CB G25KT TOPS 350. LA CST SCT-BKN025...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1/2SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG CB TOPS 450. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 17Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 500. AFT 20Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031605Z 0316/0412 15005KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB BKN030 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 15010G20KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM041000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 031527Z 0315/0412 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0315/0317 VRB05G20KT 1SM TSRA BKN030CB FM031900 05006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB OVC250 FM032200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM040000 09005KT P6SM SCT045 BKN250 FM040800 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1100 CDT...A SQLN OF STG TSTMS XTNDS FM POINT AU FER ISLAND INTO THE CNTRL GLFMEX...ABT 110NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG E 25KT. FQT LTGNG AND Q35KT ALG THIS LN. ISOLD TSTM 29NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 18KT. CLUSTTER OF TSTMS VCNTY MOBILE BAY TO 60NM S OF MOBILE BAY...MOVG NE 15KT. FQT LGTNG AND PSBL FC/WATERSPOUTS A FEW OF THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG...29NM SW. ETA SPILL LOCATION 1230 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.75 FT AT 1053 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.77 FT AT 1053 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........80 80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............80 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............84 80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........B20.....020......080........ SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 11 S 11 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.07/LIX