FNUS74 KLIX 031710 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1210 PM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1200 CDT...1005MB LOW PRES SYS AND ASSOCD TROF XTNDS FM UPR TX CST N OF HOU METRO AREA INTO W GLFMEX ALG 93W. SQLN FM TERRBN PRSH INTO CNTRL GLFMEX...MOVG E 25KT. STRONGEST TSTMS GENLY S OF 27N. 1014MB HIGH ALG FL PEN. GLF BREEZE FNT ALG LA CST...MOVG N 12KT. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO SUSTAIN WHILE MOVG ALG SE LA CST ERLY THIS PM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM FOR CSTL WATERS ATCHAFALAYA BAY TO GRAND ISLE OUT 60NM. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 14KT 250FT... S 15KT 500FT... S 17KT 1KFT... S 20KT 2KFT...SSW 29KT 3KFT... S 27KT 4KFT... S 24KT 5KFT... S 23KT MAX WIND...251/40KT 46.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3300FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV 3300FT. INV-V TO 925MB...V-DRY TO 825MB...CONVGG CURVES 1C DEP 630-575MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.48 IN. LI -8. SBCAPE 2974 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 242/12KT. WET-MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031651Z AUTO 17012G16KT 9SM CLR 30/25 A2982 RMK AO2 SLP099 T03000250 TSNO METAR KGAO 031704Z AUTO 14012G17KT SCT026 SCT033 SCT050 30/25 A2980 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 031651Z 09006KT 10SM SCT025 BKN090 26/23 A2982 METAR KIPN 031700Z AUTO 18011KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031650Z AUTO 18007KT 7SM FEW024 FEW055 SCT065 27/22 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031655Z AUTO 18018KT 9SM 27/23 A2974 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031655Z AUTO 22021G32KT 1 1/4SM HZ SCT003 BKN025 OVC040 26/23 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031655Z AUTO 14008KT 10SM SCT019 SCT024 BKN028 30/25 A2981 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MS CST...MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN027CB G25KT TOPS 350. LA CST SCT-BKN025...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1/2SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG CB TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q35KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031605Z 0316/0412 15005KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB BKN030 OVC250 TEMPO 0317/0321 15010G20KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM032300 04004KT P6SM VCSH SCT050 BKN250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM041000 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 KHSA 031527Z 0315/0412 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0315/0317 VRB05G20KT 1SM TSRA BKN030CB FM031900 05006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB OVC250 FM032200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW050 BKN250 FM040000 09005KT P6SM SCT045 BKN250 FM040800 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1200 CDT...A SQLN OF STG TSTMS CONTS TO MOVE ALG THE SE LA CST FRM TERRBN PRSH TO MID-GLFMEX...MOVG E 25KT. OCNL LGTNG AND G25KT ALG THIS LN. E-W BAND OF MAINLY SHWRS XTNDS W OF THE SPILL LOCATION FM 7NM-79NM W...MERGING W SQLN. BAND MOVMT...N 20KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...75NM W ALG SQLN. ETA SPILL LOCATION 1500 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.80 FT AT 1153 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.75 FT AT 1153 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........80 58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............80 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........O18................... SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 47 47 42 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 11 S 11 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.08/LIX