FNUS74 KLIX 031820 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 120 PM CDT THU JUN 3 2010 ...DECISION SUPPORT SPOT FORECAST NUMBER 1000... .SYNOPSIS...AT 1300 CDT...1006MB LOW PRES SYS AND ASSOCD TROF XTNDS FM UPR TX CST VCNTY HOU METRO AREA INTO W GLFMEX ALG 92W. WEAKNG SQLN MOVG THRU BARATARIA BAY TO MOUTH OF MS RVR INTO CNTRL GLFMEX...MOVG E 28KT. STGST TSTMS GENLY S OF 27N. G25-30KT N OF 27N. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION IS 1010MB. SQLN XPCTD TO CONT MOVG E INTO WATERS E OF MOUTH OF MS RVER THIS PM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LOUISIANA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...UNTIL 215 PM CDT * AT 1239 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM COASTAL WATERS FROM 27 NM SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO 49 NM SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING NORTH AT 25 KNOTS. THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN WEST OF MS CANYON 252 THROUGH 215 PM CDT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 21KT 250FT... S 18KT 500FT... S 19KT 1KFT... S 22KT 2KFT...SSW 30KT 3KFT...SSW 28KT 4KFT...SSW 27KT 5KFT...SSW 26KT MAX WIND...262/41KT 46.7KFT. COND STABLE LAPSE SFC TO 2300FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3300FT...DRY LAPSE TO 12.3KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. DRY MUCH OF THE COLUMN WITH A MOIST LAYER 3C DEP 700-570MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.49 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 2713 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 240/13KT. WET-MICROBURST PROFILE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031751Z AUTO 17011KT 8SM CLR 30/25 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP094 T03000250 10300 20250 58008 TSNO METAR KGAO 031804Z AUTO 16005KT SCT003 26/23 A2978 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE AND NW PWINO METAR KHSA 031751Z 09010KT 10SM SCT018 BKN080 26/23 A2982 METAR KIPN 031800Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM FEW050 SCT060 29/23 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031755Z AUTO 23010KT 5SM HZ FEW015 FEW049 27/23 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031755Z AUTO 24015KT 10SM 27/23 A2975 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031755Z AUTO 17013KT 9SM CLR 26/23 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031755Z AUTO 22027KT 5SM HZ SCT018 SCT027 BKN042 27/23 A2978 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MS CST...MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN027CB G25KT TOPS 350. LA CST SCT-BKN025...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1/2SM +TSRA BKN015CB Q40KT FQT LTGCG CB TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR OVC080. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G20KT TOPS 330. AFT 18Z...BECMG FM W-E NMRS 1SM +TSRA OVC015CB Q35KT FQT LTGCG TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...BECMG FM W-E VFR -SHRA OVC080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. KHUM 031740Z 0318/0418 15005KT P6SM VCSH SCT020CB BKN035 OVC250 TEMPO 0318/0320 SHRA FM032300 04004KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 TEMPO 0409/0412 5SM BR SCT250 FM041500 18010KT P6SM SCT015 BKN250 PROB30 0415/0418 TSRA SCT025CB KHSA 031740Z 0318/0418 15006KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB BKN250 TEMPO 0320/0323 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM040000 18005KT P6SM VCSH SCT045 BKN250 TEMPO 0400/0404 TSRA SCT045CB FM040800 17005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB BKN250 FM041500 18009KT P6SM FEW025 SCT035CB PROB30 0415/0418 TSRA SCT025CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT035...SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT MDT NW WND BECMG MDT SW. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1300 CDT...A PORTION OF BKN SQLN XTNDD 49NM NW-75NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NNE 20KT. OCNL LGTNG AND G35KT ALG THIS LN. CLOSEST LGTNG...50NM WSW ALG SQLN. ETA SPILL LOCATION 1500 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.72 FT AT 1248 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.73 FT AT 1054 CDT. WYCM6 1.78 FT AT 1249 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.04 FT AT 1612 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.8F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........58 58 58 71 71 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............81 81 81 81 81 RH..............79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 CEILINGS........B22............... SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 61 51 51 47 43 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 81 84 91 94 91 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 11 S 11 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2700 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 820 820 820 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 60 61 61 66 55 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 RH..............88 85 82 81 81 82 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 10 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2800 3000 3000 3300 2800 MIX HGT (M).....790 850 910 910 1010 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 15 SW 17 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100603.DEEPW.09/LIX