FNUS74 KLIX 041010 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 510 AM CDT FRI JUN 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 0500 CDT...1004MB LOW PRES SYS IS JUST WEST OF THE SABINE RIVER WHILE A TROUGH IS DUE EAST ACROSS SRN LA AND INTO THE GLFMEX JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC IS LEADING TO MODERATE S-SWRLY FLOW. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL SITE WAS 1010MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS.WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SSW 10KT 250FT... S 12KT 500FT... S 12KT 1KFT... S 13KT 2KFT... S 14KT 3KFT...SSW 15KT 4KFT... SW 20KT 5KFT... SW 23KT MAX WIND...229/76KT 40.4KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1600FT...INVERSION 1600FT TO 3250FT. PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. P.W. 1.16 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 2938 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 267/14KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 040951Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM CLR 26/23 A2982 METAR KGAO 040944Z AUTO 13006KT 24/23 A2979 METAR KHSA 040055Z 00000KT 10SM SCT016 BKN028 25/24 A2976 METAR KIPN 041000Z AUTO 20012KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2985 METAR KMYT 040955Z AUTO 19012KT 7SM SCT015 SCT022 27/24 A2983 METAR KSPR 040955Z AUTO 18020KT 9SM FEW038 27/25 A2977 METAR KMDJ 040955Z AUTO 19012KT 10SM FEW048 28/24 A2983 METAR KDLP 040955Z AUTO 18013KT 10SM FEW019 FEW050 27/23 A2981 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR BKN080...ISOLD SHRA. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK... LCL MVFR 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREAS...BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT025 BKN080. AFT 00Z VFR CAVOK. AFT 08Z VFR SCT025...SCT 2SM SHRA/TSRA BKN018CB G25KT. KHUM 040826Z 0408/0506 14004KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM041100 15006KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN045 FM041300 18013KT P6SM VCTS BKN028CB BKN250 TEMPO 0413/0415 -TSRA FM041500 18013G19KT P6SM -SHRA BKN030 BKN100 OVC250 TEMPO 0415/0418 VRB10G30KT 2SM +TSRA BKN025CB OVC050 FM041800 19013KT P6SM -SHRA BKN035CB OVC250 FM042100 20012KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 FM050300 19006KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 040520Z 0406/0506 VRB03KT P6SM SCT200 FM040800 17005KT P6SM SCT025 BKN150 FM041500 18009KT P6SM FEW025 SCT035CB TEMPO 0415/0418 TSRA BKN035CB FM041800 18009KT P6SM TSRA BKN025CB AMD NOT SKED TIL 041200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR/MVFR SCT/BKN025...SCT/NUM TSRA. MDT S/SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 0500 CDT...ALL REMAINS QUIET NEAR THE SPILL SITE BUT LOOK FOR SHWRS AND TSTMS TO RETURN LATER THIS MORNING. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.30 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.51 FT AT 0859 CDT. WYCM6 1.01 FT AT 0442 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.94 FT AT 1557 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.0F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........43 43 75 75 75 69 69 69 69 69 69 73 73 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 83 83 84 84 83 83 82 82 RH..............89 88 85 82 82 82 82 77 77 80 81 84 84 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 25 25 30 35 35 35 30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 24 24 24 26 26 26 25 25 25 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO RO RO VRO VRO VRO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 68 65 65 69 58 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 83 83 83 83 RH..............82 82 82 82 82 82 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 10 S 10 S 12 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2600 2600 2600 2400 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 790 790 790 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 20 S 15 S 15 S 23 S 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 9 S 7 S 7 S 10 S 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 5 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH RO RO .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 72 71 71 71 68 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 84 85 85 85 84 RH..............82 80 77 77 77 80 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2300 2200 2200 2400 2400 MIX HGT (M).....730 700 670 670 730 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 22 S 20 S 20 S 21 SW 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100604.DEEPW.01/LIX