FNUS74 KLIX 042007 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 307 PM CDT FRI JUN 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1400 CDT...1007MB SFC LOW PRES CENTER REMAINS NEAR THE SABINE RIVER. A SECONDARY 1008MB SFC LOW PRES CENTER IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES...WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH COASTAL LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC AND EASTERN GULF IS LEADING TO MODERATE TO STRONG S-SWRLY FLOW. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL SITE WAS 1013MB. SQUALL LINE NORTH OF TROUGH AXIS IS LOCATED GENERALLY ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR AND IS MOVING N/NEWD AT ABOUT 40 KT. SQUALL LINE LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM MCCOMB TO BATON ROUGE TO FRANKLIN HAS WEAKENED...BUT STILL REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLGT RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED TORNADOES/WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 12KT 250FT... S 14KT 500FT... S 15KT 1KFT... S 17KT 2KFT... SW 19KT 3KFT... SW 23KT 4KFT... SW 23KT 5KFT... SW 22KT MAX WIND...241/56KT 40.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1800FT...INVERSION 1800FT TO 4000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. P.W. 1.56 IN. LI -6.1 SBCAPE 1794 J/KG. STM MOTION 239/18KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 041951Z AUTO 19009KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2986 RMK AO2 PK WND 23031/1857 RAE51 SLP110 P0000 T02670222 TSNO METAR KGAO 041944Z AUTO 15009KT 26/23 A2983 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED P0001 PWINO METAR KHSA 041953Z 00000KT 10SM SCT035 OVC095 25/24 A2987 METAR KIPN 042000Z AUTO 23018KT 10SM SCT015 SCT020 BKN043 29/27 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 041955Z AUTO 18015KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/23 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 041955Z AUTO 23004KT 10SM FEW012 BKN021 25/23 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 041955Z AUTO 19012KT 10SM CLR 26/22 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 041955Z AUTO 17008KT 9SM CLR 26/22 A2983 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025 BKN050...SCT/NUM 1-2SM TSRA BR BKN015CB G25KT. AFT 01Z...VFR SCT025 BKN080...LCL MVFR 4-5SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN025 BKN080...SCT/NUM 1-2SM TSRA BR BKN015CB G35KT. AFT 03Z VFR SCT025...SCT 2SM SHRA/TSRA BKN018CB G25KT. KHUM 041740Z 0418/0518 14010KT P6SM SCT025 BKN040CB TEMPO 0418/0422 VRB10G30KT 2SM +TSRA BKN015CB OVC035 FM042300 20012KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 BKN120 FM050300 19006KT P6SM SCT250 FM050800 18006KT 4SM BR VCSH SCT015 FM051400 19009KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB KHSA 041740Z 0418/0518 13005KT P6SM VCTS SCT025 BKN040CB TEMPO 0418/0422 VRB10G30KT 2SM +TSRA BKN015CB OVC035 FM042200 19007KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 SCT050 BKN250 FM050500 18004KT 4SM BR SCT050 FM051400 21010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR/MVFR SCT/BKN025...SCT/NUM TSRA. MDT S/SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. .RADAR...AT 1400 CDT...WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE SPILL SITE. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND FREQUENT TO CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING AS WELL AS LOCALLY HIGH SEAS. CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AROUND 1600 PM CDT .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.55 FT AT 1430 CDT STEADY...FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.92 FT AT 2140 CDT...BUT SW WINDS MAY KEEP TIDE LEVELS HIGHER THAN PREDICTED. WYCM6 1.86 FT AT 1430 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.23 FT AT 0157 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.0 F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 82 83 RH..............84 84 84 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 CEILINGS........B25 B30 B40 SEAS............6 5 5 SEA STATE.......VRO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 68 68 68 69 58 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............82 85 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2700 2600 2600 2600 2400 MIX HGT (M).....850 820 790 790 790 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 20 S 15 S 15 S 23 S 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 9 S 7 S 7 S 10 S 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............5 6 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH RO RO .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 72 71 71 71 68 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 85 85 RH..............88 88 82 77 77 77 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2300 2200 2200 2400 2400 MIX HGT (M).....730 700 670 670 730 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 22 S 20 S 20 S 21 SW 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100604.DEEPW.11/LIX