FNUS74 KLIX 042309 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 609 PM CDT FRI JUN 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1800 CDT...1006MB SFC LOW PRES CENTER REMAINS NEAR THE SABINE RIVER/TOLEDO BEND AREA. A TROUGH WAS EXTENDING FROM THIS SFC LOW THROUGH COASTAL LOUISIANA AND INTO THE GULF JUST SOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC AND EASTERN GULF IS LEADING TO MODERATE TO STRONG S-SWRLY FLOW. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL SITE WAS 1011MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLGT RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED TORNADOES/WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 8KT 250FT... SE 10KT 500FT... S 12KT 1KFT... S 16KT 2KFT...SSW 23KT 3KFT... SW 24KT 4KFT... SW 23KT 5KFT...SSW 23KT MAX WIND...239/56KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1800 FT...PSUEDO MOIST LAPSE SFC TO 2500FT... INVERSION 2500FT TO 4200FT...PSEUDO MOIST LAPSE ABV. P.W. 1.64 IN. LI -5...SBCAPE 1685 J/KG. STM MOTION 229/19 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 042251Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP102 T02720222 TSNO METAR KGAO 042304Z AUTO 18010KT SCT024 28/22 A2982 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 042251Z 00000KT 7SM SCT065 BKN095 24/23 A2983 METAR KIPN 042300Z AUTO 14010KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 042255Z AUTO 22012KT 8SM CLR 29/23 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 042255Z AUTO 19019KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A2980 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 042255Z AUTO 21011KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 042255Z AUTO 18014KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2982 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN080... LCL MVFR 4-5SM BR FROM 6Z TIL 14Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025... KHUM 042016Z 0420/0518 17009KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN070 TEMPO 0420/0423 6SM +TSRA BKN025CB OVC040 FM042300 20012KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 BKN120 FM050300 19006KT P6SM SCT250 FM050800 18006KT 4SM BR VCSH SCT015 FM051400 19009KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB KHSA 042014Z 0420/0518 00000KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB OVC100 TEMPO 0420/0421 VRB10G30KT 2SM +TSRA BKN015CB OVC035 FM042100 19007KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 SCT050 BKN250 FM050500 18004KT 4SM BR SCT050 FM051400 21010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR/MVFR SCT/BKN025...SCT/NUM TSRA. MDT S/SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. **************************************************************** VALID NEAR SPILL SITE. **************************************************************** .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...RADAR REMAINS CLEAR OVER THE SPILL SITE. THAT SAID ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHRA AND EMBEDDED TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.37 FT AT 1735 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.92 FT AT 2159 CDT. WYCM6 1.48 FT AT 1722 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.23 FT AT 0157 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.0 F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........73 68 68 68 68 68 69 69 69 69 58 58 WEATHER COV.....LKY SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 83 82 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............82 85 85 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 20 20 15 15 23 23 23 23 23 23 TRANS SPD (M/S).10 9 9 9 7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH CH RO RO RO RO RO RO .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 72 71 71 71 68 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 85 85 RH..............88 88 82 77 77 77 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2300 2200 2200 2400 2400 MIX HGT (M).....730 700 670 670 730 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 22 S 20 S 20 S 21 SW 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 59 59 59 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 82 82 81 81 RH..............80 82 88 90 93 91 20 FT WIND......S 11 S 10 S 10 S 11 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2400 2400 2400 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....730 730 730 730 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 SW 21 S 16 S 16 S 17 S 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 8 SW 9 S 7 S 7 S 8 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH RO $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100604.DEEPW.14/LIX