FNUS74 KLIX 050004 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 704 PM CDT FRI JUN 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1900 CDT...1006MB SFC LOW PRES CENTER REMAINS NEAR THE SABINE RIVER/TOLEDO BEND AREA. A TROUGH WAS EXTENDING FROM THIS SFC LOW THROUGH COASTAL LOUISIANA AND INTO THE GULF JUST SOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC AND EASTERN GULF IS LEADING TO MODERATE TO STRONG S-SWRLY FLOW. SFC PRESSURE AT SPILL SITE WAS 1011MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLGT RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED TORNADOES/WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 7KT 250FT... S 9KT 500FT... S 10KT 1KFT... S 13KT 2KFT...SSW 23KT 3KFT... SW 24KT 4KFT... SW 23KT 5KFT...SSW 22KT MAX WIND...237/54KT 40.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1800 FT...PSUEDO MOIST LAPSE SFC TO 2500FT... INVERSION 2500FT TO 4200FT...PSEUDO MOIST LAPSE ABV. P.W. 1.55 IN. LI -4...SBCAPE 1246 J/KG. STM MOTION 237/19 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 042351Z AUTO 18009KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP108 60002 T02720228 10294 20250 55000 TSNO METAR KGAO 042344Z AUTO 17008KT SCT023 28/23 A2982 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 042351Z 00000KT 7SM BKN110 24/24 A2982 METAR KIPN 050000Z AUTO 14010KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 042355Z AUTO 20015KT 7SM BKN110 28/23 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 042355Z AUTO 20018KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A2981 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 042355Z AUTO 21010KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 042355Z AUTO 19013KT 10SM SCT020 27/23 A2984 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN080... LCL MVFR 4-5SM BR FROM 6Z TIL 14Z. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025... KHUM 042332Z 0500/0524 17008KT P6SM SCT030 FM050800 18006KT 4SM BR VCSH SCT015 FM051000 19009KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB FM051500 21012KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050 KHSA 042332Z 0500/0524 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH SCT060 BKN100 FM050500 18005KT 4SM BR SCT050 FM050900 18008KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0509/0513 TSRA BKN030CB FM051400 23010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 050200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR/MVFR SCT/BKN025...SCT/NUM TSRA. MDT S/SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. LGT-MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT035...ISOLD TSRA. LGT SW WND. **************************************************************** VALID NEAR SPILL SITE. **************************************************************** .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...RADAR REMAINS CLEAR OVER THE SPILL SITE. THAT SAID ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHRA AND EMBEDDED TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.23 FT AT 1830 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.92 FT AT 2159 CDT. WYCM6 1.29 FT AT 1826 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.23 FT AT 0157 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.0 F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........68 68 68 68 68 69 69 69 69 58 58 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 82 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............85 85 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 15 15 23 23 23 23 23 23 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH RO RO RO RO RO RO .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 72 71 71 71 68 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 85 85 RH..............88 88 82 77 77 77 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2300 2200 2200 2400 2400 MIX HGT (M).....730 700 670 670 730 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 22 S 20 S 20 S 21 SW 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 59 59 59 44 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 82 82 81 81 RH..............80 82 88 90 93 91 20 FT WIND......S 11 S 10 S 10 S 11 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2400 2400 2400 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....730 730 730 730 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 SW 21 S 16 S 16 S 17 S 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 8 SW 9 S 7 S 7 S 8 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH RO $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100604.DEEPW.15/LIX