FNUS74 KLIX 051209 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 709 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0700 CDT...A 1011MB TROF XTNDD THRU CSTL LA AND MS CSTL WATERS. 1017MB HIGH PRES RIDGG FM WRN ATLC INTO LWR FL. 5MB GRADIENT HIGH TO TROF. UPR LOW PRES SYS OVR SW LA XPTD TO SLWLY FILL AND LIFT NE THRUOUT THE DAY...BUT TRIGGER NUMRS TSTMS OVR SE LA/S MS AND CSTL WATERS TODAY. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1012MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 12KT 250FT... S 13KT 500FT... S 14KT 1KFT... S 15KT 2KFT... S 17KT 3KFT... S 15KT 4KFT... S 12KT 5KFT... S 12KT MAX WIND...227/67KT 40.8KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1900 FT...WARM LAPSE TO 4300FT...DRY LAPSE TO 10.3KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V 2C DEP 975MB/1000FT...V-DRY TO 875MB/4200FT...MOIST LYR BTWN 875-750MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.60 IN. LI -7...SBCAPE 3531 J/KG. STM MOTION 244/15 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 051151Z AUTO 17011KT 8SM SCT100 27/24 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP126 70002 T02670244 10267 20256 53010 TSNO METAR KGAO 051204Z AUTO 16005KT 26/25 A2990 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 051200Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM SCT017 28/27 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051155Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM BR FEW016 FEW025 28/26 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 051155Z AUTO 19017KT 9SM FEW023 28/25 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 051155Z AUTO 18016KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 051155Z AUTO 18013G19KT 10SM FEW095 28/25 A2989 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT015-020...LCL MVFR 5SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 16Z...SCT-BKN032...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G30KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR...FEW030 BKN080...ISOLD TSRA TOPS 400. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025. AFT 16Z...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G35KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR FEW025 OVC080 MDT SW WND. KHUM 051122Z 0512/0612 19010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0519 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM060100 16005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 051122Z 0512/0612 VRB03KT 5SM BR SCT050 FM051400 18010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0518 2SM TSRA BKN030CB FM060100 18005KT P6SM SCT030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 0700 CDT...AREA OF LGT SHWRS DEVLPG ALG AND OUTSIDE CHAND ISLS...MOVG NE 15KT. ISOLD SHWRS DEVLPG ALG AL AND EXT NW FL CST...MOVG NE 12KT. ISOLD SHWRS DEVLPG BEYOND 90NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG N 15KT. LRG LN OF TSTMS OVR CNTRL LA...280NM NW...LN MOVMT STNRY...CELL MOVMT NE 11KT. WHILE NOT DETECTED ATTM...RAINFALL MODELS INDICATE RAPID DEVLPMT OF WIDESPREAD TSTMS VCNTY BARATARIA BAY AND SE LA EARLY THIS AM. THIS COULD IMPACT AVN OPS OUT OF SE LA TERMINALS BETWEEN 13Z-16Z. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.50 FT AT 0638 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.85 FT AT 0638 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.61 FT AT 1154 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.0 F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........73 73 76 76 76 76 75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 83 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............88 88 88 85 82 80 80 80 80 80 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 91 93 95 95 94 94 94 94 94 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 12 12 12 12 11 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 16 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).10 10 10 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S17 S17 S20 S25 B22 B22 B25 S25 O80 O80 O80 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 73 69 69 64 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 82 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 91 88 89 92 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 92 91 89 90 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2300 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 700 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 10 S 14 S 14 S 17 S 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH RO .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........66 68 69 69 70 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 84 85 RH..............91 91 82 80 82 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 97 95 97 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2200 2600 2600 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....580 670 790 790 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 16 SW 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100605.DEEPW.03/LIX