FNUS74 KLIX 051412 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 912 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0900 CDT...A 1012MB TROF XTNDD THRU CSTL LA AND MS CSTL WATERS. 1018MB HIGH PRES RDG ALG FL PEN...RDGG TO 1015MB BUBBLE HIGH NR 28N/89W. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE WAS 1014MB. UPR LOW PRES SYS OVR SW LA XPTD TO SLWLY FILL AND LIFT NE THRUOUT THE DAY...BUT TRIGGER NUMRS TSTMS OVR SE LA/S MS AND CSTL WATERS TODAY. SURGE OF 80F DWPT AIR ADVNCG N FM YUCATAN CHANNEL/FL STRAITS. SCT TSTMS DEVLPG 130NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 12KT 250FT... S 12KT 500FT... S 13KT 1KFT... S 15KT 2KFT...SSE 19KT 3KFT... SE 18KT 4KFT... SE 14KT 5KFT... S 13KT MAX WIND...230/71KT 39.9KFT. 220/50KT 25.3KFT COND STABLE LAPSE SFC TO 4400 FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V 2C DEP 975MB/1000FT...V-DRY TO 875MB/4200FT...MOIST LYR BTWN 875-750MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.64 IN. LI -10...SBCAPE 4428 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 238/18 KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...185/15KT 2KFT...200/19KT 3KFT...215/23KT 4KFT...225/29KT 5KFT...215/38KT MAX WIND...220/72KT 39.0KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 350FT...DRY LAPSE TO 1400FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 3300FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9100FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED TO 962MB/1400FT...V-DRY TO 930MB...MOIST LYR 825-730MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.74 IN. LI -9...SBCAPE 3764 J/KG. STM MOTION 248/22 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 051351Z AUTO 20008KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP141 T02890250 TSNO METAR KGAO 051404Z AUTO 16011G17KT SCT018 SCT024 SCT030 29/25 A2993 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 051355Z 19010KT 10SM SCT014 28/25 A2993 METAR KIPN 051400Z AUTO 16014KT 10SM CLR 29/27 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 051355Z AUTO 17014KT 9SM CLR 28/26 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 051355Z AUTO 18012KT 9SM CLR 29/26 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 051355Z AUTO 18012KT 10SM CLR 30/26 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT015-020. AFT 16Z...SCT-BKN032...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G30KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR...FEW035 BKN080... ISOLD TSRA SCT035CB TOPS 400. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025. AFT 16Z...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G35KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR FEW025 OVC080 MDT SW WND. KHUM 051122Z 0512/0612 19010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0519 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM060100 16005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 051231Z 0513/0612 18007KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 FM051400 18010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0518 2SM TSRA BKN030CB FM060100 18005KT P6SM SCT030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 0900 CDT...ISOLD SHWRS DEVLPG 38NM NE TO 46NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 12KT. NO LGTNG THESE CELLS. RAINFALL MODELS INDICATE RAPID DEVLPMT OF WIDESPREAD TSTMS VCNTY BARATARIA BAY AND SE LA THIS AM. THIS COULD IMPACT AVN OPS OUT OF SE LA TERMINALS BETWEEN 14Z-16Z. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.49 FT AT 0854 CDT FALLING OFF HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.04 FT AT 0854 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.61 FT AT 1154 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.8 F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........76 76 76 76 75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............88 85 82 80 80 80 80 80 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 95 95 94 94 94 94 94 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 11 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 16 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).10 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 73 69 69 64 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 82 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 91 88 89 92 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 92 91 89 90 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2300 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 700 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 10 S 14 S 14 S 17 S 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH RO .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........66 68 69 69 70 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 84 85 RH..............91 91 82 80 82 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 97 95 97 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2200 2600 2600 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....580 670 790 790 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 16 SW 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100605.DEEPW.05/LIX