FNUS74 KLIX 051513 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1013 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...A WK TROF XTNDD E-W THRU SE LA AND MS CSTL WATERS. 1018MB HIGH PRES AREA ALG FL PEN...RDGG TO 1015MB BUBBLE HIGH NR 28N/89W. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE IS 1014MB. UPR LOW PRES SYS OVR SW LA TO LIFT NE THRUOUT THE DAY...BUT TRIGGER NUMRS TSTMS OVR SE LA/S MS AND CSTL WATERS THIS AM. SURGE OF 80F DWPT AIR ADVNCG N FM YUCATAN CHANNEL/FL STRAITS. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 12KT 250FT... S 12KT 500FT... S 13KT 1KFT... S 15KT 2KFT...SSE 19KT 3KFT... SE 18KT 4KFT... SE 14KT 5KFT... S 13KT MAX WIND...230/71KT 39.9KFT. 220/50KT 25.3KFT COND STABLE LAPSE SFC TO 4400 FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V 2C DEP 975MB/1000FT...V-DRY TO 875MB/4200FT...MOIST LYR BTWN 875-750MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.64 IN. LI -10...SBCAPE 4428 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 238/18 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 051451Z AUTO 18011KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP139 T02940256 50013 TSNO METAR KGAO 051504Z AUTO 16009KT SCT016 30/26 A2993 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 051455Z 19011KT 10SM SCT023 BKN031 29/25 A2994 METAR KIPN 051500Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM CLR 29/27 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 051455Z AUTO 17013KT 9SM CLR 29/26 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 051455Z AUTO 18015KT 8SM FEW013 FEW019 29/27 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 051455Z AUTO 17009KT 9SM CLR 30/26 A2993 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-025. AFT 16Z...SCT-BKN032...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR...FEW035 BKN080...ISOLD TSRA SCT035CB TOPS 400. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT017. AFT 16Z...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR FEW025 OVC080 MDT SW WND. KHUM 051421Z 0514/0612 18007KT P6SM BKN017 BKN025 FM051500 19010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0519 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM060100 16005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 051231Z 0513/0612 18007KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 FM051400 18010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0518 2SM TSRA BKN030CB FM060100 18005KT P6SM SCT030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 1000 CDT...SCT SHWRS WERE INCRSG IN COVERG FM 29NM N-58NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...CLOSEST CELL 4NM WNW...MOVG NE 21KT. NO LGTNG THESE CELLS. OTHER SHWRS/TSTMS ALG CST NR AL/FL STATE LN...MOVG NE 15KT. CLUSTER OF TSTMS 135NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 39KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...135NM SE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.46 FT AT 0939 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.91 FT AT 1858 CDT. WYCM6 2.05 FT AT 0954 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.61 FT AT 1154 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.0F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........76 76 76 75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............85 82 80 80 80 80 80 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 94 94 94 94 94 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........F25 S25 B25 B25 S25 O80 O80 O80 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 73 69 69 64 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 82 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 91 88 89 92 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 92 91 89 90 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 8 S 7 S 9 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2300 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 700 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 10 S 14 S 14 S 17 S 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH RO .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........66 68 69 69 70 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 84 85 RH..............91 91 82 80 82 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 97 95 97 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2200 2600 2600 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....580 670 790 790 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 16 SW 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100605.DEEPW.06/LIX