FNUS74 KLIX 051610 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1110 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...A WK TROF XTNDD E-W THRU SE LA AND MS CSTL WATERS. 1018MB HIGH PRES AREA ALG FL PEN...RDGG TO 1015MB BUBBLE HIGH NR 28N/89W. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE IS 1014MB. UPR LOW PRES SYS OVR SW LA TO LIFT NE THRUOUT THE DAY...BUT TRIGGER NUMRS TSTMS OVR SE LA/S MS AND CSTL WATERS THIS AM. SURGE OF 80F DWPT AIR ADVNCG N FM YUCATAN CHANNEL/FL STRAITS. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 11KT 250FT... S 12KT 500FT... S 14KT 1KFT... S 17KT 2KFT...SSE 24KT 3KFT... SE 22KT 4KFT... SE 20KT 5KFT... S 17KT MAX WIND...228/73KT 40.7KFT. 216/50KT 24.7KFT DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1700FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 5000FT...DRY LAPSE TO 8900FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED 1-2C DEP SFC TO 950MB/1800FT...V-DRY TO 900MB/3400FT...MOIST LYR BTWN 850-750MB... V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.78 IN. LI -9...SBCAPE 3845 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 238/16 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 051551Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM CLR 30/26 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP139 T03000261 TSNO METAR KGAO 051604Z AUTO 16010G15KT SCT018 SCT023 31/26 A2994 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 051555Z 21010G17KT 10SM BKN024 30/25 A2994 METAR KIPN 051600Z AUTO 19012KT 10SM CLR 29/27 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 051555Z AUTO 17013KT 8SM CLR 29/27 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 051555Z AUTO 18015KT 8SM FEW050 29/27 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 051555Z AUTO 17010G16KT 9SM CLR 30/27 A2993 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT020-025. AFT 16Z...SCT-BKN032...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G25KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR...FEW035 BKN080...ISOLD TSRA SCT035CB TOPS 400. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVOK. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT017. AFT 16Z...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOPS 450. AFT 22Z...VFR FEW025 OVC080 MDT SW WND. KHUM 051421Z 0514/0612 18007KT P6SM BKN017 BKN025 FM051500 19010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0519 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM060100 16005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 051231Z 0513/0612 18007KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 FM051400 18010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB TEMPO 0515/0518 2SM TSRA BKN030CB FM060100 18005KT P6SM SCT030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR BKN035...SCT TSRA. MDT SW WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 1100 CDT...SCT SHWRS WERE INCRSG IN COVERG WITHIN 35NM RADIUS OF SPILL LOCATION...CLOSEST CELL 10NM S...MOVG NE 13KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...34NM W. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.40 FT AT 1039 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.91 FT AT 1858 CDT. WYCM6 2.02 FT AT 1044 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.61 FT AT 1154 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........76 76 75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............82 80 80 80 80 80 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 94 94 94 94 94 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 18 18 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........B22 B18 B18 S25 O80 O80 O80 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 73 69 69 64 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 82 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 91 88 89 92 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 92 91 89 90 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 8 S 7 S 9 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 2400 2400 2300 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 730 730 700 580 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 10 S 14 S 14 S 17 S 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH RO .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........66 68 69 69 70 66 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 83 85 84 85 RH..............91 91 82 80 82 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 97 95 97 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2200 2600 2600 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....580 670 790 790 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 16 SW 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100605.DEEPW.07/LIX