FNUS75 KEPZ 061430
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR AREA 74 RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
830 AM MDT SUN JUN 6 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR AREA 74 RX...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
808 AM MDT SUN JUN 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON JUNE 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS...VIRGA SHAFTS
AND SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
TODAY.  THIS WILL MEAN UNSEASONABLE HOT TEMPERATURES...LIGHT WINDS
AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA.  ASIDE FROM UNCOMFORTABLE
CONDITIONS...THIS WILL MEAN CONTINUED DRYING AND CURING OF FUELS.

INTENSE HEAT FROM BURN TODAY MAY AGAIN FORM CUMULUS IN VICINITY.
DRY LIGHTNING IS A POSSIBILITY WITH THIS STORM...ALTHOUGH WITH
ROUGHLY ONE FIFTH OF THE ACREAGE EXPECTED TO BE BURNED AS OPPOSED TO
YESTERDAY...AND GIVEN STRONGER RIDGE ALOFT OVER BURN
SITE...LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM GENERATION IS LESS.  NEVERTHELESS...WILL
KEEP MENTION OF AN ISOLATED STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR BURN SITE.
 WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT FROM THE EAST WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
MOISTURE ACROSS BURN SITE MONDAY...LOWERING HIGHS MONDAY ROUGHLY 2 TO
3 DEGREES...WHILE RAISING RH ROUGHLY 4 TO 7 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1500.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS
MIXING HEIGHT.......16250 FEET
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (65000 KNOT-FEET)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FEET
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (1000 KNOT-FEET)

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS
MIXING HEIGHT.......12800 FEET
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (76800 KNOT-FEET)

$$

REQUESTED BY...JEAN STELZER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE