FNUS74 KLIX 061106 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 606 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...1012MB TROF XTNDG ACRS S LA INTO CSTL MS/AL. 1017MB HIGH OVR LWR FL...RDGG TO 1014MB BUBBLE HIGH NR 29N/89W. 6MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1009MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE 1013MB. A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTR OVR CNTRL GLFMEX SURGG NWD 13KT TWDS OPS AREA. SHWRS AND TSTMS XPCTD TO INCR IN COVERG/INTNSTY THIS PM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 13KT 250FT... SW 15KT 500FT... SW 17KT 1KFT... SW 19KT 2KFT... SW 14KT 3KFT... SW 12KT 4KFT... SW 13KT 5KFT... SW 16KT MAX WIND...231/55KT 41.1KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2400FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 5100FT...DRY LAPSE TO 12.6KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED 1-2C DEP SFC TO 950MB/1900FT...MDT SATURATED TO 650MB...V-DRY TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO 480MB...PARALLEL 4C DEP ABV. P.W. 2.31 IN. LI -6. SBCAPE 3212 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 259/14 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 061051Z AUTO 20006KT 8SM CLR 28/26 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP141 T02780256 TSNO METAR KGAO 061044Z AUTO 00000KT 27/26 A2993 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 060155Z 11003KT 10SM CLR 24/23 A2989 LAST METAR KIPN 061100Z AUTO 16013KT 10SM FEW011 SCT027 BKN042 28/27 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 061055Z AUTO 18009KT 7SM CLR 28/27 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 061055Z AUTO 20006KT 9SM FEW040 FEW048 29/26 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 061055Z AUTO 20009KT 8SM FEW028 28/27 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR VSBY 4-5SM BR CIGS BKN011-016 TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z SCT-BKN025-032...ISOLD SHRA. AFT 17Z BKN035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 400. AFT 22Z VFR FEW035 BKN080. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN011-017...SCT SHRA. AFT 19Z MVFR BKN015... SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB G30KT TOPS 420. AFT 22Z...VFR FEW025 BKN080. KHUM 060747Z 0608/0706 17004KT P6SM VCSH BKN009 BKN020 BKN040 FM061300 17005KT P6SM BKN012 FM061500 18005KT P6SM SCT025 FM061700 20007KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 PROB30 0618/0623 2SM TSRA BKN025CB FM070100 22005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 KHSA 060540Z 0606/0706 12003KT P6SM BKN011 BKN022 FM061000 17002KT 6SM BR SCT008 BKN012 FM061400 18005KT P6SM SCT025 FM061800 20007KT P6SM SCT035 PROB30 0619/0623 2SM TSRA BKN030CB FM070100 21005KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 0600 CDT...SHWRS WERE INCRSG IN COVERG OVR AND WITHIN 75NM OF SPILL LOCATION. AN ISOLD TSTM 77NM NE...MOVG NE 24KT. OCNL LGTNG...G30KT AND PSBL WATERSPOUT THIS CELL. CLOSEST LGTNG...70NM NE. A SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVR CNTRL GLFMEX NR 26N/92W...339NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...WAS ADVANCING NE 13KT AND MAY IMPACT THE OPS AREA MAINLY AFT 1500 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.40 FT AT 0538 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE 1.52 FT AT 0659 CDT. WYCM6 1.73 FT AT 0538 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.86 FT AT 0915 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........65 65 65 68 68 68 75 75 75 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 82 82 82 83 84 84 83 84 84 84 84 RH..............94 94 94 94 94 88 85 85 85 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 93 93 92 94 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 11 11 10 10 8 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 17 17 17 14 14 14 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........O17.............................O80............ SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH CH LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........76 67 39 39 46 44 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 83 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 85 88 91 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 93 91 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2400 2300 2300 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 730 700 700 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 5 SW 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 W 2 SW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........44 63 65 65 49 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 86 84 RH..............88 85 77 72 75 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 96 99 97 96 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2400 2400 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 730 730 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 NE 2 NE 2 NW 1 W 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 SW 1 NE 1 NE 1 NW 0 W 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100606.DEEPW.02/LIX