FNUS74 KLIX 061307 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 807 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...1014MB TROF XTNDG ACRS S LA INTO CSTL MS AND AL. 1017MB HIGH OVR LWR FL...RDGG TO 1016MB BUBBLE HIGH NR 29N/90W. 8MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1008MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE 1015MB. A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTR OVR CNTRL GLFMEX SURGG NE 13KT TWDS OPS AREA. SHWRS AND TSTMS XPCTD TO INCR IN COVERG/INTNSTY THIS AM/ERLY PM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER MS CANYON... AT 725 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...FROM 51 NM EAST OF PILOTTOWN TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 8KT 250FT... SW 9KT 500FT... SW 10KT 1KFT... SW 10KT 2KFT... SW 9KT 3KFT... SW 10KT 4KFT... SW 13KT 5KFT... SW 16KT MAX WIND...236/55KT 41.4KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 6700FT...DRY LAPSE TO 13.0KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED 1-2C DEP SFC TO 950MB/1900FT...MDT SATURATED TO 650MB...V-DRY TO 600MB...CONV CURVES TO 480MB...PARALLEL 2C DEP ABV. P.W. 2.39 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 3667 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 262/14 KT. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...000/00KT 1KFT...240/07KT 2KFT...235/09KT 3KFT...235/09KT 4KFT...240/11KT 6KFT...235/18KT MAX WIND...250/60KT 41.0KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 500FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 3600FT...DRY LAPSE TO 4900FT...COND STABLE TO 9000FT...INVERSION TO 9900FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED SFC TO 850MB/4900FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.75 IN. LI -8. SBCAPE 4656 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 275/12 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 061251Z AUTO 21007KT 7SM CLR 29/26 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP147 T02890261 TSNO METAR KGAO 061244Z AUTO 17003KT BKN002 BKN006 OVC013 29/27 A2996 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E PWINO SPECI KHSA 061230Z 00000KT 5SM BR SCT010 BKN013 26/26 A2995 METAR KIPN 061300Z AUTO 19014KT 10SM CLR 28/26 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 061255Z AUTO 17011KT 7SM CLR 28/27 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 061255Z AUTO 19005KT 6SM BR SCT031 BKN043 OVC060 29/27 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 061255Z AUTO 21005KT 7SM CLR 29/27 A2996 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR VSBY 4-5SM BR CIGS BKN011-016 TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z BKN020...SCT SHRA. AFT 17Z BKN035...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 400. AFT 22Z VFR FEW035 BKN080. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR 6SM RA OVC011...SCT-NMRS SHRA. AFT 17Z SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOPS 420. KHUM 061140Z 0612/0712 18005KT 5SM BR VCSH SCT009 BKN014 BKN030 TEMPO 0612/0613 BKN009 FM061300 18005KT P6SM BKN012 FM061500 19006KT P6SM VCSH BKN022 FM061700 20007KT P6SM SCT030CB TEMPO 0617/0620 4SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM070100 22005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 KHSA 061140Z 0612/0712 00000KT 2SM BR BKN008 FM061300 17003KT 4SM BR SCT008 BKN012 FM061400 18005KT P6SM VCSH BKN020 FM061800 20006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN035CB TEMPO 0618/0621 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM070100 22004KT P6SM SCT015 BKN250 FM070800 00000KT 4SM BR SCT015= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT...A LARGE BAND OF SHWRS/TSTMS WAS ORIENTING NE-SW FM 140NE TO 50NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 13KT. FQT LGTNG...G25-30KT AND PSBL WATERPSOUTS THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG... 12NM W. COVERG/INTNSTY XPTD TO CONT INCRG RMNDR OF THIS AM. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.49 FT AT 0738 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE 1.52 FT AT 0659 CDT. WYCM6 1.66 FT AT 0733 CDT FALLING...HIGH TIDE 1.87 FT AT 0859 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.9F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........65 68 68 68 75 75 75 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............82 82 83 84 84 83 84 84 84 84 RH..............94 94 94 88 85 85 85 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 92 94 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 10 10 8 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 17 17 17 14 14 14 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O11..................................... SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......RO RO CH CH CH LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........76 67 39 39 46 44 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 83 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 85 88 91 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 93 91 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2400 2300 2300 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 730 700 700 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 5 SW 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 W 2 SW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........44 63 65 65 49 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 86 84 RH..............88 85 77 72 75 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 96 99 97 96 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2400 2400 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 730 730 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 NE 2 NE 2 NW 1 W 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 SW 1 NE 1 NE 1 NW 0 W 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100606.DEEPW.04/LIX