FNUS74 KLIX 061507 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1007 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1000 CDT...1014MB TROF STNRY ACRS S LA INTO CSTL MS AND AL. 1017MB HIGH OVR LWR FL...RDGG TO 1016MB BUBBLE HIGH NR 29N/90W. 7MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...HIGH TO 1009MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE 1015MB. A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTR OVR CNTRL GLFMEX SURGG NE 13KT TWDS OPS AREA. SHWRS AND TSTMS XPCTD TO PERSIST VCNTY OPS AREA THIS AM/ERLY PM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER MS CANYON... AT 931 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...ABOUT 41 NM SOUTHEAST OF PILOTTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WITHIN 9NM NW-N OF MS CANYON 252. INTENSE LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WAS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. GUSTS 25 TO 33KT MAY ALSO RESULT. ...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR MISSISSIPPI CANYON UNTIL 1045 AM CDT. AT 944 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING A WATERSPOUT OVER COASTAL WATERS ABOUT 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. * THIS WATERSPOUT WILL BE NEAR MS CANYON 252 ABOUT 1045 AM CDT .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 7KT 250FT...SSW 8KT 500FT...SSW 8KT 1KFT...SSW 9KT 2KFT...SSW 10KT 3KFT...SSW 9KT 4KFT...SSW 10KT 5KFT... SW 13KT MAX WIND...244/54KT 41.5KFT. SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE NRLY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 2.44 IN. LI -8. SBCAPE 4214 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 258/13 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 061451Z AUTO 20008KT 10SM CLR 30/26 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP151 T03000256 50005 TSNO METAR KGAO 061444Z AUTO 19006KT SCT001 SCT013 BKN021 31/27 A2997 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E PWINO METAR KHSA 061455Z 28004KT 10SM SCT023 SCT025 31/26 A2995 METAR KIPN 061500Z AUTO 20014KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 061455Z AUTO 17009KT 8SM CLR 29/27 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 061455Z AUTO 19003KT 7SM FEW010 31/27 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 061455Z AUTO 21005KT 8SM CLR 29/26 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...SCT-BKN015-020...BECMG VFR SCT-BKN025...ISOLD -SHRA. AFT 16Z BKN032...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 400. AFT 22Z VFR FEW035 BKN080. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR 6SM RA OVC011...SCT-NMRS 1/4SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT PSBL FC TOPS 450 WITHIN 30NM OF SPILL LOCATION. KHUM 061140Z 0612/0712 18005KT 5SM BR VCSH SCT009 BKN014 BKN030 TEMPO 0612/0613 BKN009 FM061300 18005KT P6SM BKN012 FM061500 19006KT P6SM VCSH BKN022 FM061700 20007KT P6SM SCT030CB TEMPO 0617/0620 4SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM070100 22005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 KHSA 061140Z 0612/0712 00000KT 2SM BR BKN008 FM061300 17003KT 4SM BR SCT008 BKN012 FM061400 18005KT P6SM VCSH BKN020 FM061800 20006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN035CB TEMPO 0618/0621 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM070100 22004KT P6SM SCT015 BKN250 FM070800 00000KT 4SM BR SCT015= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 1000 CDT...A SVR TSTM WAS 16NM WNW OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 20KT. FQT LGTNG...G30KT AND PROBABLE WATERSPOUT THIS CELL. ETA 1042AM CDT. CLOSEST LGTNG...8NM W OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.43 FT AT 0935 CDT ERRATIC...LOW TIDE 0.72 FT AT 1703 CDT. WYCM6 1.49 FT AT 0948 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.14 FT AT 2200 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.8F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........68 68 75 75 75 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............83 84 84 83 84 84 84 84 RH..............94 88 85 85 85 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 8 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 14 14 14 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O11.......................... SEAS............3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........76 67 39 39 46 44 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 83 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 85 88 91 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 93 91 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2400 2300 2300 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 730 700 700 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 5 SW 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 W 2 SW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........44 63 65 65 49 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 86 84 RH..............88 85 77 72 75 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 96 99 97 96 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2400 2400 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 730 730 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 NE 2 NE 2 NW 1 W 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 SW 1 NE 1 NE 1 NW 0 W 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100606.DEEPW.06/LIX