FNUS74 KLIX 061608 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1108 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 CDT...RIDGE OF HIGH PRES ACRS ERN HLF OF GLFMEX FM 1017MB CNTRD OVR FL PEN TO 1015MB FRINGE ALG 91W. 6MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...FRINGE TO 1009MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE 1015MB. A COMPLEX OF TROPICAL TSTMS CNTRD NR 26.2N/91.4W...250NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...WAS MOVG NE 20KT. THIS WILL LKLY BRING A NEW ROUND OF TSTMS TO THE OPS AREA AND UPR GLFMEX LATE TONIGHT/MON AM. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER MISSISSIPPI CANYON... AT 1044 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...OVER MISSISSIPPI CANYON ABOUT 46 NM SOUTHEAST OF PILOTTOWN...9NM W OF MS CANYON 252...MOVING EAST AT 10 KNOTS. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR MS CANYON 252 THROUGH 1130 AM CDT. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. WATERSPOUTS MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NNW 5KT 250FT... NW 1KT 500FT... S 2KT 1KFT...SSW 6KT 2KFT... SW 11KT 3KFT... SW 12KT 4KFT... SW 13KT 5KFT... SW 16KT MAX WIND...243/49KT 40.8KFT. SATURATED PSEUDO LAPSE NRLY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 2.53 IN. LI -7. SBCAPE 3451 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 256/12 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 061551Z AUTO 20007KT 9SM CLR 30/26 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP153 T03000256 TSNO METAR KGAO 061604Z AUTO 18004KT SCT017 SCT024 32/26 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 061555Z 22004KT 10SM BKN024 BKN030 31/26 A2995 METAR KIPN 061600Z AUTO 21011KT 10SM FEW045 29/26 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 061555Z AUTO 17007KT 9SM CLR 29/27 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 061555Z AUTO 18008KT 5SM HZ FEW009 FEW026 30/27 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 061555Z AUTO 20005KT 7SM CLR 31/27 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...SCT-BKN015-020...BECMG VFR SCT-BKN025...ISOLD -SHRA. AFT 16Z BKN032...SCT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOPS 400. AFT 22Z VFR FEW035 BKN080. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK...LCL 4-6SM BR AFT 09Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR 6SM RA OVC011...SCT-NMRS 1/4SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOPS 450 WITHIN 30NM OF SPILL LOCATION. KHUM 061140Z 0612/0712 18005KT 5SM BR VCSH SCT009 BKN014 BKN030 TEMPO 0612/0613 BKN009 FM061300 18005KT P6SM BKN012 FM061500 19006KT P6SM VCSH BKN022 FM061700 20007KT P6SM SCT030CB TEMPO 0617/0620 4SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM070100 22005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 KHSA 061140Z 0612/0712 00000KT 2SM BR BKN008 FM061300 17003KT 4SM BR SCT008 BKN012 FM061400 18005KT P6SM VCSH BKN020 FM061800 20006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN035CB TEMPO 0618/0621 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM070100 22004KT P6SM SCT015 BKN250 FM070800 00000KT 4SM BR SCT015= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 1100 CDT...A STG TSTM WAS WITHIN 8NM OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NE 10KT. FQT LGTNG...G30KT AND PSBL WATERSPOUT THIS CELL. ETA 1120AM CDT. CLOSEST LGTNG...3NM N OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.29 FT AT 1038 CDT ERRATIC...LOW TIDE 0.72 FT AT 1703 CDT. WYCM6 1.53 FT AT 1054 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.14 FT AT 2200 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 82.8F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........68 75 75 75 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............84 84 83 84 84 84 84 RH..............88 85 85 85 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 95 95 95 95 95 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 14 14 14 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O11........................ SEAS............3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........76 67 39 39 46 44 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 83 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 85 88 91 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 93 91 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2400 2300 2300 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 730 700 700 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 5 SW 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 W 2 SW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........44 63 65 65 49 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 86 84 RH..............88 85 77 72 75 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 96 99 97 96 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2400 2400 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 730 730 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 NE 2 NE 2 NW 1 W 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 SW 1 NE 1 NE 1 NW 0 W 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100606.DEEPW.07/LIX