FNUS74 KLIX 061707 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1207 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010 ...LAST HOURLY SPOT FORECAST FOR THE DAY... .SYNOPSIS...AT 1200 CDT...RIDGE OF HIGH PRES ACRS ERN HLF OF GLFMEX FM 1017MB CNTRD OVR FL PEN TO 1015MB FRINGE ALG 91W. 6MB GRADIENT W GLFMEX...FRINGE TO 1009MB LWR TX CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL SITE 1015MB. A COMPLEX OF TROPICAL TSTMS CNTRD NR 26.2N/91.4W...250NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION...WAS MOVG NE 30KT. THIS WILL LKLY BRING A NEW ROUND OF TSTMS TO THE OPS AREA AND UPR GLFMEX LATER THIS AFTN. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS WITH 5% CHC LCL SVR TSTMS PSBL... PRIMARY THREAT WIND DAMAGE. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL. ...LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER CENTRAL GULF...MOVING NORTHEAST... AT 1130 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS... 144 NM SOUTH OF GRAND ISLE...OR ABOUT 130 NM SOUTH OF ISLE DERNIERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 KNOTS. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENTERING THE COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 60NM OF SHORE AROUND 2 PM AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE NEAR SHORE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. * PERSONS INVOLVED WITH OIL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE COVER LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THIS STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND UPDATES ISSUED HOURLY ON THIS SYSTEM. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NNE 8KT 250FT... NW 4KT 500FT... N 1KT 1KFT... SW 3KT 2KFT... SW 10KT 3KFT... SW 12KT 4KFT... SW 14KT 5KFT... SW 16KT MAX WIND...241/43KT 40.9KFT. NRLY SATURATE ENTIRE COLUMN TO 450MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 2.42 IN. LI -6. SBCAPE 2880 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 267/11 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 061651Z AUTO 19005KT 9SM CLR 31/27 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP151 T03110267 TSNO METAR KGAO 061644Z AUTO 20006KT SCT039 32/26 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 061655Z 28004KT 10SM SCT025 BKN030 32/26 A2995 METAR KIPN 061700Z AUTO 19009KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 061655Z AUTO 17010KT 7SM CLR 29/27 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 061655Z AUTO 18010KT 5SM HZ CLR 30/27 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 061655Z AUTO 19007KT 7SM CLR 31/27 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...SCT-BKN028-032...ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOPS 400. AFT 21Z SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB G30KT TOPS 450. AFT 03Z VFR FEW025 OVC080 -RA BECMG VFR CAVOK BY 05Z. AFT 09Z VFR...LCL MVFR 4-6SM BR TIL 14Z. MARINE AREAS...MVFR 6SM RA OVC011...SCT-NMRS 1/4SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOPS 450 WITHIN 30NM OF SPILL LOCATION. KHUM 061140Z 0612/0712 18005KT 5SM BR VCSH SCT009 BKN014 BKN030 TEMPO 0612/0613 BKN009 FM061300 18005KT P6SM BKN012 FM061500 19006KT P6SM VCSH BKN022 FM061700 20007KT P6SM SCT030CB TEMPO 0617/0620 4SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM070100 22005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN250 KHSA 061140Z 0612/0712 00000KT 2SM BR BKN008 FM061300 17003KT 4SM BR SCT008 BKN012 FM061400 18005KT P6SM VCSH BKN020 FM061800 20006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN035CB TEMPO 0618/0621 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM070100 22004KT P6SM SCT015 BKN250 FM070800 00000KT 4SM BR SCT015= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT NW-W WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. .RADAR...AT 1200 CDT...A CLUSTER OF TSTMS 10NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG ESE 15KT. FQT LGTNG AND G30KT THIS CELL. CLOSEST LGTNG...8NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG AWAY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.18 FT AT 1138 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.71 FT AT 1703 CDT. WYCM6 1.22 FT AT 1134 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.14 FT AT 2200 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.0F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........75 75 75 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............84 83 84 84 84 84 RH..............85 85 85 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 95 95 95 95 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.17 14 14 14 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........B15 B15 O80 O80 O80 O80 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........76 67 39 39 46 44 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 83 82 81 81 RH..............82 85 85 88 91 91 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 93 91 89 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2400 2300 2300 2000 1900 MIX HGT (M).....820 730 700 700 610 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 5 SW 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 W 2 SW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........44 63 65 65 49 39 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 86 84 RH..............88 85 77 72 75 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 96 99 97 96 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2100 2400 2400 2500 2400 MIX HGT (M).....580 640 730 730 760 730 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 NE 2 NE 2 NW 1 W 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 1 SW 1 NE 1 NE 1 NW 0 W 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM SM LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100606.DEEPW.08/LIX