FNAK79 PAFG 081322
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT 2 FIRE  899...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
522 AM AKDT TUE JUN 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2234 AKDT ON JUNE 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE LIES
NORTH OF THE FIRE AREA THIS MORNING AND IT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AIR THROUGH THURSDAY.
A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE EAST WEDNESDAY
WILL HELP IN TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO 7-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH NEAR THE SURFACE...NORTHEAST
                    5-10 MPH ALOFT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) BY 0200. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LASTING WELL INTO
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 7-10 MPH DIMINISHING TO 3-6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500-1000 FT AGL BY 0200.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH NEAR THE SURFACE...NORTHEAST
                    5-10 MPH ALOFT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 45. HIGHS AROUND 65. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 45. HIGHS AROUND 65.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 45. HIGHS AROUND 65.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.









.DISCUSSION...
...PUT DISCUSSION TEXT HERE...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
MIXING WINDS........

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................22 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
MIXING WINDS........

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
MIXING WINDS........

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MATTFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100607.TOKLA.02/AFG