FNUS75 KBOU 071553 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINT BRUSH WF..USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 952 AM MDT MON JUN 7 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS MIXING TO THE SURFACE. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AS THE AIRMASS STABILIZES. ISOLATED STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NEARBY RIDGES LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE STORMS COULD CREATE A SHIFT IN THE WIND DIRECTION AT THE FIRE SITE. THE STORMS WILL END BY MIDNIGHT. ON TUESDAY...COOLER AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN HUMIDITY. A FEW STORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD CREATE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NEARBY RIDGES AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY AFTER 1200. SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-20 MPH BY 1200. SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 13600-14600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 12000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...BECOMING GOOD BY 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 MPH AFTER 2400. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL...LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...QUICKLY DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 11-17 MPH BY 1000. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 10600-11600 FT AGL BY 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PAINT BRUSH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/07-09 28 0 61 28 W 8 13 4 1 W39 713 SW 13 7560 P 06/07-10 28 0 67 21 SW 10 1 4892 W 17 110276 V 06/07-11 28 0 73 16 SW 13 1 9071 W 22 212992 E 06/07-12 33 0 78 14 SW 15 24 3 1 W39 13250 W 28 315709 E 06/07-13 33 0 80 13 SW 17 1 13737 W 28 333653 E 06/07-14 33 0 81 14 SW 20 1 14224 W 29 351598 E 06/07-15 51 5 81 15 W 21 33 4 1 W32 14711 W 29 369543 E 06/07-16 51 5 80 17 W 22 1 13362 W 29 337687 E 06/07-17 51 5 78 19 W 21 1 12013 W 29 305830 E 06/07-18 54 20 75 22 W 20 31 3 3 W38 10665 W 30 273974 E 06/07-19 54 20 71 26 W 16 3 7180 W 23 183328 E 06/07-20 54 20 65 31 W 12 3 3695 W 17 92682 G 06/07-21 54 20 62 34 W 8 13 4 3 W38 210 W 12 2036 P 06/07-22 54 20 58 39 W 7 3 178 W 10 1678 P 06/07-23 54 20 55 43 W 7 3 147 W 10 1321 P 06/08-00 39 20 52 46 W 7 7 4 3 W36 116 W 9 963 P 06/08-01 39 20 49 51 W 5 3 120 W 7 734 P 06/08-02 39 10 47 56 NW 3 2 125 NW 5 504 P 06/08-03 39 10 45 61 N 2 2 3 2 W43 129 NW 2 275 P 06/08-04 39 10 44 63 N 3 2 125 NW 5 452 P 06/08-05 39 10 43 65 W 5 2 120 W 6 629 P 06/08-06 29 0 43 67 W 7 7 3 1 W44 116 W 8 805 P 06/08-07 29 0 47 59 W 8 1 179 W 8 1361 P 06/08-08 29 0 52 51 W 8 1 242 W 9 1917 P 06/08-09 24 0 58 42 W 8 13 3 1 W38 305 W 9 2472 P 06/08-10 24 0 64 35 W 10 1 3316 W 14 59627 F 06/08-11 24 0 68 31 W 13 1 6328 W 17 116782 V 06/08-12 47 20 71 28 W 15 23 3 3 W33 9340 W 22 173936 E 06/08-13 47 20 73 27 W 15 3 10277 W 21 184489 E 06/08-14 47 20 74 26 W 14 3 11215 W 20 195042 E 06/08-15 67 20 75 25 SW 13 20 4 3 W24 12152 W 20 205595 E 06/08-16 67 20 75 25 W 14 3 11342 W 18 184410 E 06/08-17 67 20 75 25 N 14 3 10531 W 17 163225 E 06/08-18 88 20 73 26 NE 14 21 3 3 W37 9721 W 17 142041 V 06/08-19 88 20 71 27 NE 12 3 7765 SW 14 103741 V 06/08-20 88 20 67 31 NE 8 3 5810 S 12 65442 G 06/08-21 92 20 62 36 E 6 6 3 3 W41 3854 S 8 27143 P 06/08-22 92 0 59 39 E 6 1 3534 S 10 29682 P 06/08-23 92 0 57 42 SE 6 1 3213 S 12 32222 P 06/09-00 53 0 55 45 S 7 7 2 1 W44 2893 S 14 34761 P 06/09-01 53 0 53 47 S 7 1 2221 S 13 26102 P 06/09-02 53 0 51 50 S 8 1 1550 S 13 17443 P 06/09-03 53 0 50 53 S 8 8 3 1 W41 878 S 12 8783 P 06/09-04 53 0 49 54 SW 8 1 796 SW 10 7620 P 06/09-05 53 0 49 55 W 7 1 713 SW 10 6456 P 06/09-06 55 0 49 56 W 7 7 3 1 W37 630 W 9 5293 P 06/09-07 55 0 51 50 W 7 1 1173 W 10 10462 P 06/09-08 55 0 56 42 W 7 1 1716 W 10 15631 P 06/09-09 55 0 62 35 W 8 8 2 1 W32 2259 W 10 20799 P 06/09-10 55 0 66 30 W 9 1 4946 W 14 75555 G 06/09-11 55 0 70 26 SW 12 1 7632 W 17 130311 V 06/09-12 50 10 73 24 SW 13 20 2 2 W31 10318 W 21 185066 E 06/09-13 50 10 74 23 SW 14 2 10908 W 21 200065 E 06/09-14 50 10 75 22 SW 15 2 11497 W 22 215064 E 06/09-15 50 10 76 22 W 15 23 3 2 W29 12087 W 22 230062 E 06/09-16 50 10 77 22 W 15 2 11662 W 22 222811 E 06/09-17 50 10 76 22 W 15 2 11237 W 22 215560 E 06/09-18 55 10 75 23 W 14 21 3 2 W32 10812 W 22 208310 E 06/09-19 55 10 72 25 W 13 2 8728 SW 20 157700 E 06/09-20 55 10 68 28 W 10 2 6643 SW 17 107091 V 06/09-21 55 10 64 32 W 9 14 3 2 W40 4558 S 14 56481 F 06/09-22 55 10 61 35 W 8 2 3739 S 16 50401 F 06/09-23 55 10 59 37 W 7 2 2921 S 18 44320 F 06/10-00 22 0 57 39 W 7 7 3 1 W37 2103 S 21 38240 P 06/10-01 22 0 55 42 W 7 1 1687 S 18 28816 P 06/10-02 22 0 54 45 W 8 1 1272 SW 16 19392 P 06/10-03 22 0 52 48 W 8 8 3 1 SW32 856 SW 14 9968 P 06/10-04 22 0 52 49 W 8 1 832 SW 14 10080 P 06/10-05 22 0 51 50 W 9 1 808 W 15 10193 P 06/10-06 22 0 51 50 W 9 14 3 1 SW37 783 W 15 10305 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PIDC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100607.PAINT.01/BOU