FNUS74 KLIX 071106 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 606 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0600 CDT...FLAT PRES GRADIENT ACRS GLFMEX WITH 1015MB PLATEAU OVER ERN HLF GLFMEX...BROAD 3MB GRADIENT WRN GLFMEX. A WK COLD FNT XTNDD FM SC CST...ACRS SW GA TO NW FL CST...ALG AL/MS CST...DRIFTG S. SFC PRESSURE OVER THE SPILL SITE WAS 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER NEAR SHORE LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER NEAR SHORE LAND AREAS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 08Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...WNW 8KT 250FT...WNW 8KT 500FT...WNW 9KT 1KFT... W 11KT 2KFT...WNW 11KT 3KFT... NW 10KT 4KFT... NW 10KT 5KFT... NW 12KT MAX WIND...239/36KT 41.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 400FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 2000FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 14.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SHALLOW MOIST LYR TO 1000MB...V-DRY TO 978MB/1000FT...MDT DRY TO 650MB...MOIST LYR 650-575MB...DRY ABV. P.W. 2.11 IN. LI -6. SBCAPE 2281 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 344/05 KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 071051Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 26/24 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP150 T02610244 TSNO METAR KGAO 071044Z AUTO 00000KT 26/26 A2997 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 070155Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/24 A2996 RMK LAST METAR KIPN 071100Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 071055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 071055Z AUTO 28007KT 10SM FEW036 29/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 071055Z AUTO VRB04KT 9SM CLR 29/26 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 3-5SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 15Z VFR SCT030-035. AFT 19Z VFR SCT035TCU BKN100...ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOPS 400. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 5SM BR. MARINE AREAS...VFR CAVOK. KHUM 070524Z 0706/0806 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 BKN250 FM070900 VRB03KT 5SM BR SCT015 TEMPO 0710/0713 BKN015 FM071300 07004KT P6SM SCT030 FM071500 16007KT P6SM BKN035 PROB30 0717/0722 2SM TSRA BKN028CB FM072200 19008KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 SCT250 KHSA 070524Z 0706/0806 VRB03KT 3SM BR SCT012 FM071300 04004KT P6SM SCT025 FM071700 16006KT P6SM SCT035 PROB30 0719/0723 3SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM080000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 AMD NOT SKED TIL 071200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT VRB WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD PM SHRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 0600 CDT...N ECHOES DETECTED WITHIN 100NM OF OPS AREA. CLOSEST LGTNG...373NM WSW IN WRN GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.57 FT AT 0545 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.67 FT AT 0559 CDT. WYCM6 1.36 FT AT 0523 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.50 FT AT 0900 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 83.7F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........47 40 40 40 38 38 58 58 58 58 30 30 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 81 82 83 83 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............92 89 86 83 80 80 75 74 74 72 72 76 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 88 90 92 92 93 93 92 92 91 91 91 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........CLR........>80..............F25................ SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 20 22 22 29 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 82 81 81 81 81 RH..............76 78 84 82 81 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 89 87 87 87 87 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 NW 6 N 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1600 1400 1400 1300 1200 MIX HGT (M).....580 490 430 430 400 370 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 9 W 9 W 9 W 10 N 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 NW 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 N 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........25 39 34 34 36 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............81 82 84 85 86 86 RH..............86 87 82 75 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 94 94 95 95 20 FT WIND......N 7 NE 6 E 5 E 4 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1500 1600 1600 1800 1800 MIX HGT (M).....370 460 490 490 550 550 TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 NE 12 E 12 E 12 E 8 E 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 6 NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 4 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100607.DEEPW.02/LIX