FNUS74 KLIX 072310 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 610 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...AT 1800 CDT...1016MB HIGH CNTRD NR 27.5N/89.2W... MIGRATING SWD INTO THE CNTRL GLFMEX. WEAK BACKDOOR CLDFRNT REMAINS DRAPED RIGHT ALOGN THE COAST BUT IS QUICKLY LOSING ITS IDENTITY. HIGH PRES OVER SE U.S. IS BLDG INTO N GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER NEAR SHORE LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER NEAR SHORE LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY. * HIGHS INTO THE 90S IN CONJUNCTION WITH DEW POINTS AROUND 80 WILL BRING THE HEAT INDEX IN MOST AREAS TO ABOVE 105 DEGREES AND AS HIGH AS 115. AFTERNOON SHOWERS ON TUESDAY MAY BRING A SHORT REPRIEVE OF THE HEAT...OTHERWISE SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED WED OR THU. * PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE HEAT INDEX IS A MEASURE OF HOW HOT IT FEELS WHEN THE EFFECTS OF HUMIDITY ARE COMBINED WITH THE TEMPERATURE. A HEAT INDEX OF 105 DEGREES IS CONSIDERED THE LEVEL WHERE MANY PEOPLE BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE EXTREME DISCOMFORT OR PHYSICAL STRESS. THE HEAT INDEX IS MEASURED UNDER SHADY CONDITIONS...AND DIRECT EXPOSURE TO SUNLIGHT CAN INCREASE THE HEAT INDEX AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES. * A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 7KT 250FT... W 6KT 500FT... NE 2KT 1KFT... W 2KT 2KFT... NE 4KT 3KFT... NW 6KT 4KFT... N 10KT 5KFT... N 12KT MAX WIND...246/37KT 40.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2700FT...INVERSION TO 4200FT... MODERATELY MOIST LAPSE ABV 4300. MODERATELY MOIST THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH A DRY LAYER FROM 2600FT TO 14.6K FT P.W. 1.66 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1511 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 059/3KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W SPECI KBVE 072300Z AUTO 27003KT 9SM SCT022 31/26 A2997 RMK AO2 TSNO METAR KGAO 072304Z AUTO 18004KT CLR 32/26 A2996 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE PWINO METAR KHSA 072255Z 00000KT 6SM HZ SCT044 SCT055 29/26 A2995 METAR KIPN 072300Z AUTO 29006KT 10SM SCT015 SCT022 30/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 072255Z AUTO 20006KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 072255Z AUTO 23005KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 072255Z AUTO 23005KT 10SM CLR 33/26 A2996 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN025CB G40KT TOPS 400. AFT 01Z VFR CAVOK. AFT 09Z VFR CAVOK...LCL MVFR 5SM BR. MARINE AREAS...VFR CAVOK. KHUM 072111Z 0721/0818 24006KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB BKN250 TEMPO 0721/0722 3SM -TSRA BKN035CB OVC250 FM072300 15007KT P6SM SCT035CB FM080200 00000KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 0809/0813 5SM BR FM081400 18006KT P6SM FEW035 KHSA 071731Z 0718/0818 VRB03KT P6SM SCT035 FM072000 VRB05KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB BKN250 FM080100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT050 FM080600 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 FM081400 VRB03KT P6SM FEW035= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR CAVU. LGT VRB WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR CAVOK...ISOLD PM SHRA. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 1800 CDT...NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. CLOSEST LGTNG...106NM NW. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.61 FT AT 1739 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE OCCURING NOW. WYCM6 0.65 FT AT 1627 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE OCCURRING NOW. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.3F .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........40 18 18 19 19 19 22 22 22 24 24 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............83 83 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............82 87 90 90 90 90 88 88 84 82 85 86 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 91 89 89 89 88 88 87 87 87 88 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 13 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........24 35 31 31 29 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............81 82 85 86 86 86 RH..............86 84 72 70 74 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 90 94 95 97 98 20 FT WIND......W 4 W 5 NW 4 NW 3 N 4 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1500 1600 1600 1500 1800 MIX HGT (M).....370 460 490 490 460 550 TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 NE 12 E 12 E 12 E 8 E 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 6 NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 4 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC LC SM SM SM LC .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........26 20 12 12 17 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 83 82 81 80 79 RH..............82 88 91 94 97 100 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 94 92 90 88 79 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 3 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1500 1300 1300 1100 1100 MIX HGT (M).....550 460 400 400 340 340 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 NE 7 E 10 E 10 SE 5 SE 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 NE 3 E 4 E 4 SE 2 SE 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC SM SM $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100607.DEEPW.15/LIX