FNUS75 KPUB 071557
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
957 AM MDT MON JUN 7 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WARM DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
CAUSING SURFACE WINDS TO BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
A LACK OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA...ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER PEAKS LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS.

TONIGHT...CLEARING SKIES SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL OFF AFTER 2200
AND SHIFT WINDS TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT ON
TUESDAY WILL INCREASE CLOUDS AND PUSH MOIST AIR INTO THE MOUNTAINS FROM
THE EAST...ALLOWING THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP AFTER 1200 AND INCREASE IN
COVERAGE. OVER THE FIRE AREA...WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER 0900 DUE TO SLOPE
WARMING AND WIND COUPLING BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(53 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1200...
                    THEN SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(52 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(37 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56F.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 17 MPH UNTIL
                    2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 17 MPH AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100607.MEDAN.01/PUB