FNUS74 KLIX 081307 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 807 AM CDT TUE JUN 8 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AT 0800 CDT...1017MB HIGH OVER CNTRL GLFMEX. DIFFUSE FNTL ZN ACRS LWR SE LA TO LWR FL PEN. 4MB GRADIENT HIGH TO 1012MB ALG TX CST. SFC PRESSURE OVER THE SPILL SITE WAS 1016MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0800 CDT.... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/......... 94F HOUMA AWOS-3/KHUM/............. 90F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS-3/IPN/... 99F SLIDELL /KASD/................. 84F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/........103F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL TSTMS...LCL AFTN PULSE SVR PSBL MAINLY OVER LAND AREAS. ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... * A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY ACROSS AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM METROPOLITAN BATON ROUGE TO HAMMOND TO METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. * AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S IN CONJUNCTION WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX READINGS AROUND 105 DEGREES RANGE EACH AFTERNOON TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. WARMER URBAN AND COASTAL AREAS MAY SEE THE HEAT INDEX RISE TO AROUND 110 DEGREES. ...HEAT INDICES NEAR 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON... HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY HUMID CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL LEAD TO OPPRESSIVE CONDITIONS OVER THE WATER. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 100 DEGREES AND POSSIBLY HIGHER WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE GULF WATERS AND THIS COULD QUICKLY LEAD TO HEAT EXHAUSTION. * THOSE PRONE TO HEAT RELATED HEALTH PROBLEMS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN TODAY. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AND FURTHER MARINE STATEMENT MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA IN LATER FORECASTS. ...SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER LAKE BORGNE WITH POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS... AT 740 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS...OVER MISSISSIPPI SOUND...OR ABOUT 16 NM SOUTHWEST OF PASS CHRISTIAN. ONE SHOWER NEAR GRAND PASS IS MOVING WEST 5 KNOTS. THE OTHER SHOWER OVER EASTERN LAKE BORGNE WAS MOVING EAST 5 KNOTS AND MAY MERGE WITH THE OTHER SHOWER. WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE CELLS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 1KT 250FT... S 2KT 500FT... S 2KT 1KFT... SE 4KT 2KFT...ESE 9KT 3KFT... E 11KT 4KFT... E 11KT 5KFT...ESE 11KT MAX WIND...262/40KT 39.3KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...INVERSION TO 5100FT...COND STABLE TO 16.5KFT... PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. MOIST 2C DEP SFC-950MB/1850FT...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.26 IN. LI -5. SBCAPE 1870 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 119/04KT. **MODIFIED FOR TX=86 TD=79 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...050/04KT 1KFT...275/08KT 2KFT...175/03KT 3KFT...150/08KT 4KFT...175/10KT 6KFT...160/13KT MAX WIND...260/35KT 35.0KFT. SFC INVERSION TO 600FT...SATURATED LAPSE TO 4300FT...INVERSION TO 5300FT...COND STABLE TO 15.5KFT...PSEUDO ABV. SATURATED SFC TO 925MB/2700FT...V-DRY TO 850MB...CONVG CURVES AT 700MB...MDT MOIST 4C DEP TO 500MB...V-DRY ABV. WET MICROBURST PROFILE. P.W. 1.93. LI -10. SBCAPE 4748 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 210/05KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 081251Z AUTO 00000KT 8SM CLR 28/26 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP175 T02830261 TSNO METAR KGAO 081244Z AUTO 33003KT 27/26 A3004 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 081255Z 09004KT 10SM BKN027 BKN035 26/22 A3004 METAR KIPN 081300Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT019 SCT024 30/26 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 051315Z AUTO 18013KT 4SM HZ FEW015 SCT022 29/27 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 081255Z AUTO 19007KT 6SM HZ CLR 28/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 081255Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM FEW034 30/26 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 081255Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM FEW018 30/26 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CLR...LCL 4SM BR TIL 14Z. AFT 21Z VFR FEW-SCT040...ISOLD BKN035CB SHRA TOP 350. AFT 01Z...VFR CAVU. MARINE AREAS...VFR FEW-SCT 018-022. KHUM 081141Z 0812/0912 VRB03KT 5SM BR SCT017 SCT100 FM081400 06006KT P6SM SCT030 FM081700 13009KT P6SM SCT035CB FM082300 14006KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250 FM091100 00000KT 4SM BR FEW250 KHSA 081141Z 0812/0912 07005KT P6SM SCT017 BKN030 TEMPO 0812/0813 BKN017 FM081500 09006KT P6SM SCT030 FM082000 15008KT P6SM SCT040 FM090100 14004KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR CAVOK. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR CAVOK. LGT S WND. .RADAR...AT 0800 CDT...NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. TWO ISOLD SHWRS INDICATED OVER LK BORNGE...PSBL WATERSPOUTS THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG WAS 430NM TO THE SW OFF THE TX CST. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.77 FT AT 0751 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.29 FT AT 1700 CDT. WYCM6 2.34 FT AT 0738 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........20 21 21 21 29 29 29 29 26 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............84 85 85 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 RH..............75 73 70 69 67 67 67 67 68 69 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 95 95 95 95 95 95 94 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.0 6 6 6 9 9 9 9 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).0 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S18................................... SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SM LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........26 25 16 16 12 28 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 82 82 81 80 RH..............69 72 77 78 81 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 91 90 89 87 85 20 FT WIND......E 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1300 1100 1100 1100 1100 MIX HGT (M).....460 400 340 340 340 340 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 4 SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......LC SM SM SM SM SM .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........28 43 40 40 30 52 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 82 84 85 86 85 RH..............85 79 74 72 70 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..85 89 92 94 95 94 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 5 E 8 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1300 1400 1400 1700 1400 MIX HGT (M).....340 400 430 430 520 430 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 SE 3 E 5 E 5 E 5 SE 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 3 SE 1 E 2 E 2 E 2 SE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SM LC CH CH LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100608.DEEPW.04/LIX