FNUS72 KTAE 080817
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...NATURAL RESOURCES EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
417 AM EDT TUE JUN 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER A MISSED EVENT ACROSS THE PARTS OF THE
INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND ON MONDAY...
WE ARE A BIT MORE WARY OF THE POTENTIAL FOR THE POCKET OF SOME
VERY DRY AIR (AS SHOWN IN THE 00 UTC TAE SOUNDING BETWEEN 925
AND 800 MB) TO MIX DOWN INTO THE REGION ONCE AGAIN TODAY.
HOWEVER...EVEN AFTER DROPPING THE BLENDED MAV/MET DEWPOINT
GUIDANCE A FEW DEGREES...WE ARE STILL ONLY RECEIVING 2-3 HR
DURATIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SAME MORE VULNERABLE AREAS.
SINCE IT MAY ONCE AGAIN BE A VERY CLOSE CALL...THE SITUATION
WILL REQUIRE CLOSE MONITORING TODAY. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AND UPCOMING WEEKEND...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENTLY ON THE INCREASE TO KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SAFELY
AWAY FROM RED FLAG LEVELS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........59.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............75     81     87     91     90     86
RH..............72     60     51     40     43     53
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    SE 6   SE 6   S 6    S 7
TRANSPORT WINDS.E 8    E 8    SE 9   SE 11  SE 11  S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL EARLY DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........4.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........62.

$$

FORECASTER...GOULD
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN PRICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100608.JACKS.01/TAE