FNUS75 KPUB 101204
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
604 AM MDT THU JUN 10 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

GUSTY WINDS AND HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL BE FOUND OVER THE
AREA TODAY...WITH HAINES INDICES OF 5 OR 6...RESULTING IN RED FLAG
CONDITIONS.

FRIDAY HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE HIGHER.  THUS AT THIS
-TIME CONDITIONS LOOK TOO MARGINAL TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT.
HOWEVER IF THE MORNING FORECAST MODELS INDICATE DRIER CONDITIONS
THAN WHAT WE CURRENTLY HAVE FORECAST...WE MAY NEED TO ISSUE A
FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT.  IT LOOKS LIKE THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE
FOR AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY.  HOWEVER LATER IN
THE NIGHT A FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS BY LATE NIGHT...ALONG WITH INCREASING HUMIDITIES.

FOR THE WEEKEND...THE TEMPS WILL BE MUCH COOLER AND THE CHANCES FOR
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE. THUS RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE
NOT EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1100...SOUTHWEST 17-27 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 13700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(31 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(37 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    10-20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 15500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100609.MEDAN.01/PUB