FNUS73 KMQT 101256 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH SCHAAWE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 856 AM EDT THU JUN 10 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN UPPER PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY. MEANWHILE...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL KEEP CLOUDY CONDITIONS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN...WITH THE CLEARING LINE JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE BURN SITE. THESE FACTORS WILL COMPLICATE THE WIND DIRECTION FORECAST SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL LIKELY STAY NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 5-10 MPH THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AS THE SKIES CLEAR OUT LATER THIS MORNING AND THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SHIFTS OVER THE BURN SITE...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING LIKELIHOOD THAT A LAKE BREEZE WILL DEVELOP...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON. THE PROBABILITY THAT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION WILL INCREASE AFTER 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH BY 5 PM EDT. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AROUND 65 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO 50 TO 55 PERCENT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (723). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........72 56 45 50 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 63 65 65 65 RH..............66 59 56 55 56 GENERAL WIND....N 8 N 8 VRB 4 S 6 S 6 GENERAL GUST....15 15 8 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.723 595 438 387 269 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 4200 4400 4300 3800 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 5 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH BY LATE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........49 61 77 89 90 92 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RH..............57 70 81 90 94 100 GENERAL WIND....S 5 S 5 SE 4 E 4 E 4 E 6 GENERAL GUST....10 10 5 5 5 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.247 36 0 13 13 9 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1200 BLW100 300 300 100 $$ FORECASTER...MRD REQUESTED BY...MIKE PETERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100610.NORTH.01/MQT