FNUS75 KPUB 111551
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
951 AM MDT FRI JUN 11 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... UPDATED...
A SURGE OF COLD MOIST AIR BEGAN PUSHING THROUGH THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAIN PASSES AT 0900...WITH INCREASING WINDS EXPECTED
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT INTO THE SOUTH AFTER 1400 TODAY...BUT
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS WHICH COULD
CAUSE STRONG GUSTY WINDS INTO THE 30 MPH TO 35 MPH RANGE ACROSS THE
FIRE AREA.

A COUPLE DAYS OF UNSETTLED WEATHER BEGIN TODAY...AS A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL STORM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS
TODAY...ALONG WITH A SMALL INCREASE IN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REVERSE THROUGH
THE PASS TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PLAINS
PUSH COOL AIR WESTWARD. SUSPECT EAST WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH
FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT...THOUGH HUMIDITY VALUES AND RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE INCREASING. EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY...WITH
COOLER TEMPS...INCREASED HUMIDITY AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. A
WETTING RAIN (GREATER THAN A 0.10) LOOKS LIKELY OVER THE SITE
BY SATURDAY EVENING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY...
THOUGH EAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.
A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY...AS WINDS
BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND THE AIR MASS BEGINS TO DRY OUT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...
                    THEN SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(56 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 12-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 29 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(63 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 12-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100610.MEDAN.01/PUB