FNUS75 KABQ 121702
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TECOLOTE...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1102 AM MDT SAT JUN 12 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...MIXED BAG OF WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY DUE TO FIRE LOCATION
AND WEATHER FEATURES...

DISCUSSION...UNSEASONABLE UPPER LOW OVER ARIZONA THIS MORNING WILL
SWING NORTHEAST THROUGH FOUR CORNERS REGION SUNDAY. NEW MEXICO UNDER
DRIER SOUTH WINDS ALOFT TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH UPPER WINDS TO SHIFT
TO SOUTHWEST SUNDAY. IN ADDITION...A COLD FRONT WAS DRAPED FROM LAS
VEGAS AND BURN SITE VICINITIES EAST TO TUCUMCARI THIS MORNING. UPSHOT
IS THIS MORNINGS 40-50 PERCENT HUMIDITIES MAY LOWER DRASTICALLY TO
NEAR 10-15 PERCENT AS THE SOUTH WINDS INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...AFFECTS OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...OR MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE BURN SITE. STORMS
COULD BE STRONG WITH HAIL AND VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 OR 55
MPH INTO THE EVENING. MODELS DIFFER BUT THE SURFACE FRONT COULD PUSH
WESTWARD TONIGHT...BRINGING A SHIFT TO A MORE MOIST SOUTHEAST TO EAST
WIND. SOME DRYING MAY BE EXPERIENCED AGAIN SUNDAY AS DRIER
SOUTHWEST WINDS ERODE SOME OF THE MOIST AND COOLER AIR.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                       SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT....... .10000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 35 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/350000 KNOT-FT.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH...
                       DIMINISHING LATE NIGHT AND BECOMING
                       SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH TOWARDS
                       SUNRISE.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                       NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                       SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT....... .11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 33 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/363000 KNOT-FT.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.


$$

REQUESTED BY...LEONARD SANDOVAL
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100612.TECOL.02/ABQ