FNAK79 PAFG 122000
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG RIVER FIRE...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1200 PM AKDT SAT JUN 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1140 AKDT ON JUNE 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE
TO STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIDGING AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA WILL PUSH THE THERMAL TROUGH OFF TO
THE EAST ON SUNDAY...EXPECT MAINLY SHOWER ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WITH A FEW EMBEDDED WET THUNDERSTORMS.

EXPECT WINDS TO PICK UP FROM THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE THERMAL
TROUGH STRENGTHENS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 17 MPH GUSTING TO 22 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST WINDS
                    4 TO 12 MPH BY NOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 50. HIGH 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 48. HIGH 62. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 45. HIGH 64. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...AMBER SUNDERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100612.HOGRI.01/AFG